Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 7–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 39 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 52 | Scored | 71 |
| 67 | Conceded | 25 |
| -15 | GD | +46 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 26% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome Nashville SC for this crunch clash at BMO Field.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. B.J. Callaghan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nashville SC backline.
- 25' Toronto FC have won 396 goals from 299 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lorenzo Insigne is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
- 35' Ola Brynhildsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Nashville SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Nashville SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Sam Surridge has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
- 59' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Jacob Shaffelburg is withdrawn and Ahmed Qasem gets his opportunity.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Osorio. He replaces Deybi Flores on 63 minute.
- 68' Nashville SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hany Mukhtar scoring 2 goals.
- 73' Another substitution for Nashville SC to replace Jeisson Palacios by Walker Zimmerman on 73 minute.
- 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Nashville SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Federico Bernardeschi on 86.
- 86' Jonathan Perez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alex Muyl at the 86 minute mark.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sam Surridge makes it 0-2.
- 90' Kosi Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Another change for Toronto FC made on 90 minute. Theo Corbeanu leaves to be changed by Charles Sharp.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 24
- 1
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↓ Zane Monlouis 73'
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Tyrese Spicer 73'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
- 6
- 23
-
20
Deybi Flores ↓ Jonathan Osorio 63'
- 76
Bench
- 11
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 63'
- 2
- 8
- 90
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 63'
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 73'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 73'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 90'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Jonathan Perez 86'
- 1
- 2
- 31
- 10
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ahmed Qasem 59'
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 86'
- 4
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 86'
- 12
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 73'
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↑ 86'
- 99
- 22
- 16
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 59'
- 28
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Charles Sapong | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.79
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
41%
Draw or Nashville SC
82%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
12.1%
0 – 1
11.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
7.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 24% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 20% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.