Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 24 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Nashville SC H 1–2 L
17 May Montreal Impact FC A 6–1 W
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Toronto FC A 2–1 W
18 May D.C. United SC H 0–0 D
15 May New York Red Bulls H 2–1 W
11 May Charlotte FC H 2–1 W
03 May Atlanta United FC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 7–2 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Nashville SC
#11 Position #1
14 Points 33
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 3 / 1
22 Scored 31
29 Conceded 11
-7 GD +20
1.00 PPG 2.36
21% Win % 71%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and Nashville SC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Deybi Flores has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ola Brynhildsen, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 35' Toronto FC have won 369 goals from 280 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. B.J. Callaghan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ahmed Qasem suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Sam Surridge gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Ahmed Qasem. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg on 59 minute.
  • 63' Toronto FC make a change. Deybi Flores trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Osorio on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' The whistle greets Jeisson Palacios as he departs to be replaced by Walker Zimmerman.
  • 78' Nashville SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 83' Jack Maher is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
  • 86' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 86' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Alex Muyl exits the field as Jonathan Perez enters on 86.
  • 89' Assisted by Jonathan Perez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sam Surridge makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 90' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Toronto FC make a change. Theo Corbeanu trudges off to be replaced by Charles Sharp on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC17% Draw23% Nashville SC60%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
40%
Draw or Nashville SC
83%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC12% Draw42% Nashville SC46%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.7%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
7.9%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 1
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 35% 65%
+1 35% 24% 42%
+1.5 58% 42%
+2 58% 20% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.