Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 7–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 17 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 24 | Scored | 35 |
| 32 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +21 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Toronto FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nashville SC backline.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Bryan Acosta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Nashville SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nashville SC's shape.
- 45' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Nashville SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' Sam Surridge is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 59' Ahmed Qasem has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg on 59 minute.
- 63' Deybi Flores makes way for Jonathan Osorio at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 68' Ahmed Qasem has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' Walker Zimmerman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeisson Palacios at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Jacob Shaffelburg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 284 appearances.
- 86' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 86.
- 86' The whistle greets Alex Muyl as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Perez.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sam Surridge makes it 0-2.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Kosi Thompson. He receives a card.
- 90' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Theo Corbeanu is withdrawn and Charles Sharp gets his opportunity.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nashville SC players.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 24
- 1
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↓ Zane Monlouis 73'
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Tyrese Spicer 73'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
- 6
- 23
-
20
Deybi Flores ↓ Jonathan Osorio 63'
- 76
Bench
- 11
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 63'
- 2
- 8
- 90
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 63'
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 73'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 73'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 90'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Jonathan Perez 86'
- 1
- 2
- 31
- 10
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ahmed Qasem 59'
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 86'
- 4
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 86'
- 12
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 73'
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↑ 86'
- 99
- 22
- 16
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 59'
- 28
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Daniel Rios | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.76
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 56% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Nashville SC
82%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
12.2%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
47%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.