Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
17 Jul Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
12 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
06 Jul Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
28 Jun D.C. United SC A 1–0 W
25 Jun New England Revolution A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
17 Jul San Diego FC A 1–0 W
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC Toronto FC
#1 Position #13
60 Points 29
27 Played 27
18 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
55 Scored 39
21 Conceded 51
+34 GD -12
2.22 PPG 1.07
67% Win % 22%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Geodis Park. Nashville SC are looking to make home advantage count against Toronto FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosi Thompson, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 288 games and scored 376 goals.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Magnificent from Sam Surridge! That is 65 goals in 14 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 33' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
  • 39' Tyrese Spicer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosi Thompson at the 39 minute mark.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 45' The whistle greets Matthew Longstaff as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Osorio.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' Theo Corbeanu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' The referee shows Nashville SC player a card on 60.
  • 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Kobe Franklin. He receives a card.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Alex Muyl is booked for Nashville SC — card on 69.
  • 72' Toronto FC ring the changes. Maxime Dominguez has done his job and it is now time for Derrick Etienne to step up.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Long on 73.
  • 73' Teal Bunbury has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ahmed Qasem on 73 minute.
  • 74' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patrick Yazbek is hanging Edvard Tagseth on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Hany Mukhtar on 79 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
  • 84' Kobe Franklin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' Nashville SC ring the changes. Gaston Brugman has done his job and it is now time for Bryan Acosta to step up.
  • 90' Matthew Corcoran gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Hany Mukhtar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Full Time. Nashville SC beats Toronto FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC71% Draw19% Toronto FC10%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
90%
Draw or Toronto FC
29%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC52% Draw41% Toronto FC7%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
3.3%
0 – 1
3%
5 – 0
2.5%
2 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 22% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 24% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
58% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.