Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 14 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 10 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 31 | Scored | 22 |
| 11 | Conceded | 29 |
| +20 | GD | -7 |
| 2.36 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 71% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nashville SC have kicked off against Toronto FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sam Surridge makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 33' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Maxime Dominguez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 39' Toronto FC make a change. Kosi Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 39 minutes.
- 44' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
- 45' Jonathan Osorio gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Matthew Longstaff and will look to change the dynamic.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Walker Zimmerman.
- 65' Jeisson Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 68' The referee calls foul for Kobe Franklin. He receives a card.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Muyl on 69 minutes.
- 72' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Maxime Dominguez departs to be replaced by Derrick Etienne.
- 73' Kevin Long catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
- 73' Teal Bunbury gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Ahmed Qasem and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' The Nashville SC manager makes a substitution. Edvard Tagseth departs to be replaced by Patrick Yazbek.
- 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hany Mukhtar.
- 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Nashville SC in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 85' Bryan Acosta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gaston Brugman at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matthew Corcoran is hanging Hany Mukhtar on the field on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nashville SC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↓ Bryan Acosta 85'
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
- 31
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matthew Corcoran 90'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 74'
- 4
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Teal Bunbury 73'
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 85'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 73'
- 5
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 74'
- 22
- 29
- 62
-
16
Matthew Corcoran ↑ 90'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 29
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Tyrese Spicer 39'
- 19
- 14
- 23
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 72'
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 45'
- 90
- 71
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 39'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
91%
Draw or Toronto FC
27%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
4%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 23% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

