Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
17 Jul Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
12 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
06 Jul Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
28 Jun D.C. United SC A 1–0 W
25 Jun New England Revolution A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
17 Jul San Diego FC A 1–0 W
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC Toronto FC
#1 Position #12
40 Points 17
18 Played 18
12 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
35 Scored 24
14 Conceded 32
+21 GD -8
2.22 PPG 0.94
67% Win % 17%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nashville SC is hosting Toronto FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Nashville SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxime Dominguez made 238 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Kobe Franklin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 284 appearances.
  • 25' Matthew Corcoran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' What a strike from Sam Surridge! The score is 1-0.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 39' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kosi Thompson departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Matthew Longstaff makes way for Jonathan Osorio at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' Nashville SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 65' Nashville SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Kobe Franklin on 68 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Nashville SC player. Alex Muyl gets a card.
  • 72' Another change for Toronto FC made on 72 minute. Maxime Dominguez leaves to be changed by Derrick Etienne.
  • 73' Kevin Long picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Nashville SC make a change. Ahmed Qasem trudges off to be replaced by Teal Bunbury on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Patrick Yazbek gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Edvard Tagseth and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Nashville SC player. Hany Mukhtar gets a card.
  • 84' A quiet spell here at Geodis Park. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 85' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Gaston Brugman is withdrawn and Bryan Acosta gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Another change for Nashville SC made on 90 minute. Hany Mukhtar leaves to be changed by Matthew Corcoran.
  • Nashville SC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC70% Draw20% Toronto FC10%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
90%
Draw or Toronto FC
30%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC50% Draw43% Toronto FC7%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.2%
5 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 22% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 25% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
59%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.