Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 77 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 71 | Scored | 52 |
| 25 | Conceded | 67 |
| +46 | GD | -15 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 68% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nashville SC and Toronto FC is underway.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Toronto FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 28' What a moment for Sam Surridge! That strike on 28 puts his side firmly in control.
- 33' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
- 38' Alonso Coello Camarero, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' Another change for Toronto FC made on 39 minute. Kosi Thompson leaves to be changed by Tyrese Spicer.
- 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Matthew Longstaff by Jonathan Osorio on 45 minute.
- 50' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Niklas Dorsch scoring 1 goals.
- 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' Walker Zimmerman picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 68' Kobe Franklin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
- 69' A moment of madness from Alex Muyl on 69 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
- 72' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Maxime Dominguez is withdrawn and Derrick Etienne gets his opportunity.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Long.
- 73' The whistle greets Ahmed Qasem as he departs to be replaced by Teal Bunbury.
- 74' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Edvard Tagseth is replaced by Patrick Yazbek on 74 minute.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Hany Mukhtar is booked for Nashville SC — card on 79.
- 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 85' Bryan Acosta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gaston Brugman on 85 minute.
- 90' The Nashville SC manager makes a substitution. Hany Mukhtar departs to be replaced by Matthew Corcoran.
- 1-0 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↓ Bryan Acosta 85'
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
- 31
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matthew Corcoran 90'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 74'
- 4
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Teal Bunbury 73'
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 85'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 73'
- 5
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 74'
- 22
- 29
- 62
-
16
Matthew Corcoran ↑ 90'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 29
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Tyrese Spicer 39'
- 19
- 14
- 23
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 72'
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 45'
- 90
- 71
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 39'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Robert Castellanos | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.24
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
91%
Draw or Toronto FC
28%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
5 – 0
2.8%
0 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 23% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.