Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 40 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 35 | Scored | 24 |
| 14 | Conceded | 32 |
| +21 | GD | -8 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 67% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nashville SC is hosting Toronto FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Nashville SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxime Dominguez made 238 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Kobe Franklin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 284 appearances.
- 25' Matthew Corcoran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 28' What a strike from Sam Surridge! The score is 1-0.
- 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 39' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kosi Thompson departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Matthew Longstaff makes way for Jonathan Osorio at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' Nashville SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 65' Nashville SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 68' A moment of madness from Kobe Franklin on 68 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 69' It’s a booking for Nashville SC player. Alex Muyl gets a card.
- 72' Another change for Toronto FC made on 72 minute. Maxime Dominguez leaves to be changed by Derrick Etienne.
- 73' Kevin Long picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' Nashville SC make a change. Ahmed Qasem trudges off to be replaced by Teal Bunbury on 73 minutes.
- 74' Patrick Yazbek gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Edvard Tagseth and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' It’s a booking for Nashville SC player. Hany Mukhtar gets a card.
- 84' A quiet spell here at Geodis Park. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Gaston Brugman is withdrawn and Bryan Acosta gets his opportunity.
- 90' Another change for Nashville SC made on 90 minute. Hany Mukhtar leaves to be changed by Matthew Corcoran.
- Nashville SC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↓ Bryan Acosta 85'
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
- 31
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Matthew Corcoran 90'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 74'
- 4
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Teal Bunbury 73'
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 85'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 73'
- 5
- 99
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↑ 74'
- 22
- 29
- 62
-
16
Matthew Corcoran ↑ 90'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 29
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Tyrese Spicer 39'
- 19
- 14
- 23
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 72'
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 45'
- 90
- 71
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 39'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| David Romney | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
90%
Draw or Toronto FC
30%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.2%
5 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
59%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

