Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
17 Jul Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
12 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
06 Jul Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
28 Jun D.C. United SC A 1–0 W
25 Jun New England Revolution A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
17 Jul San Diego FC A 1–0 W
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC Toronto FC
#1 Position #11
33 Points 14
14 Played 14
10 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
31 Scored 22
11 Conceded 29
+20 GD -7
2.36 PPG 1.00
71% Win % 21%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nashville SC have kicked off against Toronto FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sam Surridge makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 33' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Maxime Dominguez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' Toronto FC make a change. Kosi Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
  • 45' Jonathan Osorio gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Matthew Longstaff and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Walker Zimmerman.
  • 65' Jeisson Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Kobe Franklin. He receives a card.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Muyl on 69 minutes.
  • 72' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Maxime Dominguez departs to be replaced by Derrick Etienne.
  • 73' Kevin Long catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 73' Teal Bunbury gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Ahmed Qasem and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' The Nashville SC manager makes a substitution. Edvard Tagseth departs to be replaced by Patrick Yazbek.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hany Mukhtar.
  • 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Nashville SC in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
  • 85' Bryan Acosta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gaston Brugman at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matthew Corcoran is hanging Hany Mukhtar on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nashville SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC73% Draw18% Toronto FC9%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
91%
Draw or Toronto FC
27%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC55% Draw38% Toronto FC7%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
4%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 23% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 23% 24%
-0.5 76% 24%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
57%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.