Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 16 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 17 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 18 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 19 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 22 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 23 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 24 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 28 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #8 |
| 17 | Points | 29 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 23 |
| -8 | GD | +9 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 17% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
Toronto FC are 25th (17 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 8th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
5/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Jozy Altidore | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Jack Elliott | 3 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Andrew Gutman | 2 |
| Nemanja Nikolics | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
1.56
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
67%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

