Saturday , 3 October 2026

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 5 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent 27' 1–1
Josh Sargent 38' 2–1
2–2 49' Walker Zimmerman og
Josh Sargent 54' 3–2
3–4 63' Robert Lewandowski
Derrick Etienne 90+2' 4–4

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D
22 Aug Internacional CF Miami A 2–1 W
19 Aug Charlotte FC H 3–3 D
15 Aug New England Revolution H 2–1 W
31 Jul New York City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep Toronto FC A 4–4 D
29 Aug Seattle Sounders FC A 2–2 D
22 Aug New York Red Bulls A 1–1 D
19 Aug Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Portland Timbers H 2–1 W
02 Aug Charlotte FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Chicago Fire FC
#13 Position #5
29 Points 42
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 8
39 Scored 46
51 Conceded 38
-12 GD +8
1.07 PPG 1.62
22% Win % 46%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie 8 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC35% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
65%
Toronto FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC27% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC36%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4%
0 – 1
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 18% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.