Monday , 12 October 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Mon 13 Mar 2023 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw29% Western United FC32%
Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Western United FC
61%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC29% Draw47% Western United FC24%
Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.