Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Western United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Western United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Western United FC42% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC30%
Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
58%
Western United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Western United FC27% Draw49% Melbourne Victory FC24%
Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap Western United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.