Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2020-21

Western United FC

1 – 6

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 28 May 2021 · 09:05 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Connor Pain 8' Y

Connor Pain 9' Y

Iker Guarrotxena 55' Y

Y 55' Callum McManaman

Tomislav Uskok 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Western United FC 13 games · Avg 3.9 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-28 Western United FC 1–6 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC 2020-07-25 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC 2019-12-08 Western United FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-11-02 Melbourne Victory FC 2–3 Western United FC

Recent Form

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–6	L
22 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–3	L
15 May	Sydney FC	H	0–1	L
12 May	Perth Glory FC	A	0–3	L
08 May	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–5	L
05 May	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 May	Western United FC	A	6–1	W
23 May	Adelaide United FC	H	0–1	L
19 May	Sydney FC	A	0–2	L
14 May	Macarthur FC	A	1–3	L
09 May	Perth Glory FC	A	1–2	L
06 May	Macarthur FC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Western United FC to score. At the same time, Melbourne Victory FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
8' Connor Pain is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
9' Connor Pain is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
12' A stunning finish from Jake Brimmer — that came from absolutely nowhere!
17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
22' Against the run of play, Rudy Gestede has scored! This game has turned on its head.
27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Western United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
33' GOAL! Elvis Kamsoba scores on 33.
36' Brilliant from the ! Ben Folami makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 36.
41' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Western United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
46' A change in the Western United FC ranks — Sebastian Pasquali exits the field as Jerry Skotadis enters on 46.
48' What a strike from Alessandro Diamanti! The score is 1-4.
50' What a moment for Elvis Kamsoba! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
55' It’s a booking for Western United FC player. Iker Guarrotxena gets a Yellow card.
60' Western United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Western United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
66' Fresh legs for Western United FC! Steven Lustica comes on to replace Luke Duzel.
67' Adisu Bayew has so much to prove this time. He replaces Iker Guarrotxena on 67 minute.
69' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lleyton Brooks is hanging Elvis Kamsoba on the field on 69 minute.
70' Nishan Velupillay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Folami on 70 minute.
72' Jay Barnett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jake Brimmer at the 72 minute mark.
77' The 33-year-old Connor Pain has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
82' GOAL! Jacob Butterfield fires home to make it 1-6!
87' Dylan Ryan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomislav Uskok on 88.
90' Gianluca Iannucci has so much to prove this time. He replaces Callum McManaman on 90 minute.
Western United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Melbourne Victory FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

23
Alessandro Diamanti
11
Connor Pain
3
Brendan Hamill
6
Tomoki Imai
5
Dylan Pierias ↓ Nicolas Milanovic 66'
8
Lachlan Wales
21
Sebastian Pasquali ↓ Jerry Skotadis 46'
25
Luke Duzel ↓ Steven Lustica 66'
30
Ryan Scott
22
Tomislav Uskok
34
Iker Guarrotxena ↓ Adisu Bayew 67'

Bench

2
Aaron Calver
4
Andrew Durante
1
Filip Kurto
27
Jerry Skotadis ↑ 46'
10
Steven Lustica ↑ 66'
26
Nicolas Milanovic ↑ 66'
31
Adisu Bayew ↑ 67'

Coach Mark Rudan

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Jacob Butterfield
11
Ben Folami ↓ Nishan Velupillay 70'
9
Rudy Gestede
7
Callum McManaman ↓ Gianluca Iannucci 90'
19
Dylan Ryan
1
Matt Acton
6
Leigh Broxham
2
Storm Roux
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Jay Barnett 72'
17
Elvis Kamsoba ↓ Lleyton Brooks 69'
3
Adama Traore

Bench

20
Max Crocombe
14
Jay Barnett ↑ 72'
16
Brandon Lauton
26
Lleyton Brooks ↑ 69'
35
Zaydan Bello
29
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 70'
34
Gianluca Iannucci ↑ 90'

Coach Steve Kean

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Besart Berisha	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Noah Botic	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	2
Jacob Butterfield	2
Rudy Gestede	2
Alessandro Diamanti	2
Victor Sanchez	2

Head to Head

Western United FC Form

2021-05-28 Western United FC 1–6 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-05-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Western United FC L 2021-05-15 Western United FC 0–1 Sydney FC L 2021-05-12 Perth Glory FC 3–0 Western United FC L 2021-05-08 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 5–0 Western United FC L 2021-05-05 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Western United FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2021-05-28 Western United FC 1–6 Melbourne Victory FC W 2021-05-23 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC L 2021-05-19 Sydney FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-05-14 Macarthur FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-05-09 Perth Glory FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-05-06 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Macarthur FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Western United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.06 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Western United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western United FC33% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC43%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

67%

Western United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western United FC24% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC36%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted

1 – 6

Actual

1 – 1

9.5%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 2

5.7%

0 – 1

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 0

0 – 3

3.8%

1 – 0

3.6%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap	Western United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	15%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	20%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.