Thursday , 2 July 2026

Western United FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sat 11 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Adelaide United FC H 2–3 L
05 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
28 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–2 D
21 Jan Sydney FC H 1–0 W
15 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–1 D
07 Jan Melbourne City FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Western United FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
29 Jan Melbourne City FC A 3–3 D
20 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–0 W
14 Jan Melbourne Victory FC H 1–1 D
07 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Western United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Western United FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Western United FC38% Draw26% Adelaide United FC36%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
62%
Western United FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Western United FC31% Draw42% Adelaide United FC27%
Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap Western United FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.