Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 17' Craig Goodwin

Cadete 19' Y

Connor Chapman 26' Y

Y 46' Ben Halloran

Bruno Fornaroli 53' Y

Bruno Fornaroli 54' Y

Roderick Miranda 56' Y

Y 79' Alexandar Popovic

Y 80' Alexandar Popovic

Y 80' Hiroshi Ibusuki

Y 90' Isaias

Y 90' Nestor Irankunda

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-02 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-05-23 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W
12 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–2	L
03 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	1–3	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
19 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	4–4	D
11 Feb	Western United FC	A	3–2	W
04 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–1	W
29 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	3–3	D
20 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Melbourne Victory FC host Adelaide United FC — let the battle begin!
5' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
17' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Craig Goodwin.
19' The referee has no hesitation. Cadete is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 19.
24' is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Adelaide United FC so far.
26' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 26.
31' Connor Chapman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
41' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
45' The supporters are chanting for Nishan Velupillay. He replaces Jake Brimmer on 45 minute.
46' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 46.
51' It’s high time Anthony Popovic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
53' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Bruno Fornaroli.
54' Bruno Fornaroli is having his name booked by the referee on 54.
56' The referee calls foul for Roderick Miranda. He receives a Yellow card.
61' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Ethan Alagich is replaced by Nestor Irankunda on 61 minute.
66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
69' Bruce Kamau is replacing Chris Ikonomidis for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Adelaide United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
79' Bruno Fornaroli puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
79' Poor challenge from Alexandar Popovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alexandar Popovic.
81' Bruno Fornaroli with the second goal in the match!
85' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Connor Chapman is replaced by Leigh Broxham on 85 minute.
87' What composure from Nestor Irankunda! The Australia international strokes it home. 2-1.
89' The crowd applauds Ben Halloran as he leaves the pitch. Luke Duzel steps in for Adelaide United FC.
90' Asad Kasumovic gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Zach Clough and will look to change the dynamic.
90' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Isaias gets a Yellow card.
The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Cadete
11
Ben Folami
5
Damien da Silva
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Nishan Velupillay 45'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↓ Bruce Kamau 69'
21
Roderick Miranda
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Fernando Romero 85'
14
Connor Chapman ↓ Leigh Broxham 85'
2
Jason Geria
8
Joshua Brillante
20
Paul Izzo

Bench

Coach Anthony Popovic

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Craig Goodwin	4
Marco Rojas	4
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Leroy George	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-18 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Sydney FC L 2023-01-21 Perth Glory FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-19 Adelaide United FC 4–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2023-02-11 Western United FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W 2023-02-04 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-01-29 Melbourne City FC 3–3 Adelaide United FC D 2023-01-20 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Macarthur FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw26% Adelaide United FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

61%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw43% Adelaide United FC27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 0

5.5%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.