Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 17' Craig Goodwin

Cadete 19' Y

Connor Chapman 26' Y

Y 46' Ben Halloran

Bruno Fornaroli 53' Y

Bruno Fornaroli 54' Y

Roderick Miranda 56' Y

Y 79' Alexandar Popovic

Y 80' Alexandar Popovic

Y 80' Hiroshi Ibusuki

Y 90' Isaias

Y 90' Nestor Irankunda

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-02 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-05-23 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W
12 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–2	L
03 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	1–3	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
19 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	4–4	D
11 Feb	Western United FC	A	3–2	W
04 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–1	W
29 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	3–3	D
20 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Melbourne Victory FC gets underway.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
17' The referee has no hesitation. Craig Goodwin is booked for Adelaide United FC — Yellow card on 17.
19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cadete.
24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Anthony Popovic will be considering his options from the bench.
26' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 26.
31' Bruno Fornaroli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
36' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
45' Nishan Velupillay is replacing Jake Brimmer for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
46' Ben Halloran was booked on 46.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Connor Chapman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
53' Bruno Fornaroli was booked on 53.
54' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Bruno Fornaroli on 54 minutes.
56' Roderick Miranda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 56.
61' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Ethan Alagich is replaced by Nestor Irankunda on 61 minute.
66' Spain international Isaias has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
69' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Bruce Kamau on, Chris Ikonomidis off on 69 minutes.
74' Jake Brimmer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Adelaide United FC so far.
79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Fornaroli makes it 1-0.
79' A moment of madness from Alexandar Popovic on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
80' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Alexandar Popovic.
81' What a moment for Bruno Fornaroli! That strike on 81 puts his side firmly in control.
85' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Connor Chapman exits the field as Leigh Broxham enters on 85.
87' What a moment for Nestor Irankunda! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
89' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Ben Halloran is replaced by Luke Duzel on 89 minute.
90' Zach Clough makes way for Asad Kasumovic at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isaias on 90.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Cadete
11
Ben Folami
5
Damien da Silva
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Nishan Velupillay 45'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↓ Bruce Kamau 69'
21
Roderick Miranda
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Fernando Romero 85'
14
Connor Chapman ↓ Leigh Broxham 85'
2
Jason Geria
8
Joshua Brillante
20
Paul Izzo

Bench

Coach Anthony Popovic

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Craig Goodwin	4
Marco Rojas	4
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Leroy George	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-18 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Sydney FC L 2023-01-21 Perth Glory FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-19 Adelaide United FC 4–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2023-02-11 Western United FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W 2023-02-04 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC W 2023-01-29 Melbourne City FC 3–3 Adelaide United FC D 2023-01-20 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Macarthur FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw26% Adelaide United FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

61%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw43% Adelaide United FC27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 0

5.5%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.