Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb Melbourne City FC H 3–2 W
12 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 3–1 W
26 Jan Sydney FC H 1–2 L
21 Jan Perth Glory FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
19 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 4–4 D
11 Feb Western United FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
29 Jan Melbourne City FC A 3–3 D
20 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw26% Adelaide United FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
61%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw43% Adelaide United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.