Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Perth Glory FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Sydney FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 13' Against the run of play, Oskar Zawada has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ben Folami made 361 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 32' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 32.
- 37' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Bozhidar Kraev trudges off to be replaced by Benjamin Old on 46 minutes.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Finn Surman.
- 53' Poor challenge from Finn Surman. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' Jake Brimmer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
- 59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Rufer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 64' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
- 69' has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 0 appearances.
- 70' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Bruno Fornaroli gets a Yellow card.
- 71' Yan Sasse gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Kosta Barbarouses and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Sam Sutton. He replaces Lucas Mauragis on 72 minute.
- 77' Sam Sutton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' The whistle greets David Ball as he departs to be replaced by Nicholas Pennington.
- 83' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 86' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Bruno Fornaroli departs to be replaced by Tomi Juric.
- 89' Stefan Nigro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nishan Velupillay at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Ben Folami is withdrawn and Eli Adams gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Melbourne Victory FC take all three points.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Cadete ↓ William Wilson 89'
-
11
Ben Folami ↓ Eli Adams 90'
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 21
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Tomi Juric 86'
- 31
- 2
- 24
- 8
Bench
-
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 89'
-
23
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 90'
-
9
Tomi Juric ↑ 86'
-
28
William Wilson ↑ 89'
- 30
-
29
Eli Adams ↑ 90'
Coach
Anthony Popovic
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Yan Sasse 71'
- 20
-
14
Alex Rufer ↓ Oskar van Hattum 78'
-
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Benjamin Old 46'
- 17
-
12
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Sam Sutton 71'
- 21
- 5
- 3
- 9
Bench
-
31
Yan Sasse ↑ 71'
-
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 78'
-
8
Benjamin Old ↑ 46'
-
13
Nicholas Pennington ↑ 78'
- 40
Coach
Ufuk Talay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Jake Brimmer | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-02-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2023-01-26
Melbourne Victory FC
1–2
Sydney FC
L
2023-01-21
Perth Glory FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2023-01-14
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-01-06
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2022-12-31
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2023-02-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2023-01-28
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–2
Perth Glory FC
D
2023-01-22
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2023-01-14
Brisbane Roar FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2023-01-07
Sydney FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2023-01-02
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–3
Melbourne City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
47%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

