Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Callan Elliot

Y 52' Finn Surman

Y 53' Finn Surman

Bruno Fornaroli 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-03-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 4–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-02-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	1–3	L
14 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–1	D
06 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–2	L

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–3	L
28 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	2–2	D
22 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–1	W
14 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
07 Jan	Sydney FC	A	1–0	W
02 Jan	Melbourne City FC	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
13' Magnificent from Oskar Zawada! That is 34 goals in 209 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
23' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
25' The referee calls foul for Callan Elliot. He receives a Yellow card.
30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
32' Bruno Fornaroli adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Finn Surman, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
46' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Bozhidar Kraev is replaced by Benjamin Old on 46 minute.
51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
52' The referee calls foul for Finn Surman. He receives a Yellow card.
53' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Finn Surman.
54' What composure from Jake Brimmer! The Malta international strokes it home. 2-1.
59' Nicholas Pennington is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wellington Phoenix FC so far.
64' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
69' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
70' Bruno Fornaroli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 70.
71' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 71 minute. Kosta Barbarouses leaves to be changed by Yan Sasse.
72' Sam Sutton gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Lucas Mauragis and will look to change the dynamic.
77' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
78' Nicholas Pennington is replacing David Ball for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
86' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Tomi Juric on, Bruno Fornaroli off on 86 minutes.
89' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Nishan Velupillay departs to be replaced by Stefan Nigro.
90' The whistle greets Ben Folami as he departs to be replaced by Eli Adams.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Cadete ↓ William Wilson 89'
11
Ben Folami ↓ Eli Adams 90'
1
Matt Acton
6
Leigh Broxham ↓ Nathan Konstandopoulos 90'
22
Jake Brimmer
21
Roderick Miranda
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Tomi Juric 86'
31
Matthew Bozinovski
2
Jason Geria
24
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Stefan Nigro 89'
8
Joshua Brillante

Bench

16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 89'
23
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 90'
9
Tomi Juric ↑ 86'
28
William Wilson ↑ 89'
30
Ahmad Taleb
29
Eli Adams ↑ 90'

Coach Anthony Popovic

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

31
Yan Sasse ↑ 71'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 78'
8
Benjamin Old ↑ 46'
13
Nicholas Pennington ↑ 78'
40
Alex Paulsen

Coach Ufuk Talay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Sydney FC L 2023-01-21 Perth Glory FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-01-06 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2022-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-01-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Perth Glory FC D 2023-01-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2023-01-14 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-07 Sydney FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-02 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–3 Melbourne City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.09 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC23%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

47%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw41% Wellington Phoenix FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.