Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Callan Elliot

Y 52' Finn Surman

Y 53' Finn Surman

Bruno Fornaroli 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-02-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-03-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 4–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2021-02-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	1–3	L
14 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–1	D
06 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
31 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–2	L

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–3	L
28 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	2–2	D
22 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–1	W
14 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
07 Jan	Sydney FC	A	1–0	W
02 Jan	Melbourne City FC	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Melbourne Victory FC are looking to make home advantage count against Wellington Phoenix FC.
5' Wellington Phoenix FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
13' The deadlock is broken! Oskar Zawada gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
18' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
23' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
25' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
30' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
32' Bruno Fornaroli is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
37' Callan Elliot, a New Zealand , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
42' Nicholas Pennington has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' The whistle greets Bozhidar Kraev as he departs to be replaced by Benjamin Old.
51' It’s high time Ufuk Talay made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
52' The referee calls foul for Finn Surman. He receives a Yellow card.
53' Finn Surman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 53.
54' Jake Brimmer adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
59' A quiet spell here at . Wellington Phoenix FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
64' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Oskar van Hattum is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
70' Bruno Fornaroli is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
71' The whistle greets Kosta Barbarouses as he departs to be replaced by Yan Sasse.
72' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Sam Sutton on, Lucas Mauragis off on 72 minutes.
77' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
78' Nicholas Pennington gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces David Ball and will look to change the dynamic.
83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
86' The whistle greets Bruno Fornaroli as he departs to be replaced by Tomi Juric.
89' Stefan Nigro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nishan Velupillay at the 89 minute mark.
90' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Ben Folami by Eli Adams on 90 minute.
The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Cadete ↓ William Wilson 89'
11
Ben Folami ↓ Eli Adams 90'
1
Matt Acton
6
Leigh Broxham ↓ Nathan Konstandopoulos 90'
22
Jake Brimmer
21
Roderick Miranda
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Tomi Juric 86'
31
Matthew Bozinovski
2
Jason Geria
24
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Stefan Nigro 89'
8
Joshua Brillante

Bench

16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 89'
23
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 90'
9
Tomi Juric ↑ 86'
28
William Wilson ↑ 89'
30
Ahmad Taleb
29
Eli Adams ↑ 90'

Coach Anthony Popovic

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

31
Yan Sasse ↑ 71'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 71'
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 78'
8
Benjamin Old ↑ 46'
13
Nicholas Pennington ↑ 78'
40
Alex Paulsen

Coach Ufuk Talay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Sydney FC L 2023-01-21 Perth Glory FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-01-06 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2022-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-02-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-01-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Perth Glory FC D 2023-01-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2023-01-14 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-07 Sydney FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-01-02 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–3 Melbourne City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.09 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC23%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

47%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw41% Wellington Phoenix FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.