Thursday , 1 October 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 3–1 W
26 Jan Sydney FC H 1–2 L
21 Jan Perth Glory FC A 1–3 L
14 Jan Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
06 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 0–1 L
31 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–3 L
28 Jan Perth Glory FC H 2–2 D
22 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 1–0 W
07 Jan Sydney FC A 1–0 W
02 Jan Melbourne City FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+11 GD -12
1.54 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' Against the run of play, Oskar Zawada has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ben Folami made 361 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 30' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 32' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 32.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Bozhidar Kraev trudges off to be replaced by Benjamin Old on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Finn Surman.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Finn Surman. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 54' Jake Brimmer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Rufer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 64' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
  • 69' has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 0 appearances.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Bruno Fornaroli gets a Yellow card.
  • 71' Yan Sasse gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Kosta Barbarouses and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Sam Sutton. He replaces Lucas Mauragis on 72 minute.
  • 77' Sam Sutton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' The whistle greets David Ball as he departs to be replaced by Nicholas Pennington.
  • 83' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 86' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Bruno Fornaroli departs to be replaced by Tomi Juric.
  • 89' Stefan Nigro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nishan Velupillay at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Ben Folami is withdrawn and Eli Adams gets his opportunity.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Melbourne Victory FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC23%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
47%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC41% Draw41% Wellington Phoenix FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.