Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mantova 1911 SSD vs FC Sudtirol, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Danilo Martelli 7,108 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davis Mensah 11' 1–0
Nicolo Radaelli 41' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Mantova 1911 SSD vs FC SudtirolSerie B at Danilo Martelli.

Match Details

  • Referee Maria Caputi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco Bresmes
  • Assistant 2 Paolo Laudato (Italy)
18 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
2
Mantova 1911 SSD 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Sudtirol

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FC Sudtirol H 2–0 W
16 Mar AC Pisa 1909 A 1–3 L
08 Mar SS Juve Stabia H 1–1 D
01 Mar Frosinone Calcio A 1–2 L
22 Feb SSC Bari H 0–1 L
16 Feb Palermo FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Mantova 1911 SSD A 0–2 L
16 Mar Carrarese Calcio H 2–2 D
09 Mar AS Cittadella A 5–1 W
28 Feb Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D
23 Feb Brescia Calcio A 0–0 D
15 Feb UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Mantova 1911 SSD FC Sudtirol
#9 Position #16
46 Points 41
38 Played 38
13 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 8 / 17 / 13
45 Scored 38
57 Conceded 48
-12 GD -10
1.21 PPG 1.08
34% Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Sudtirol this season

Mantova 1911 SSD are 9th (46 pts). FC Sudtirol are 16th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
4/
46-60
/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Sudtirol
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/5
46-60
2/
61-75
/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Mantova 1911 SSD have kicked off against FC Sudtirol. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Mantova 1911 SSD are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Sudtirol backline.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' A goal from the Italy international Davis Mensah! He fires home on 11 to make it 1-0!
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' It’s gonna be a card for Freddie Veseli.
  • 22' FC Sudtirol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' That looks like a foul for a card for Luca Belardinelli.
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Davide Possanzini might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 37' A moment of madness from Silvio Merkaj on 37 minutes earns him a card. FC Sudtirol will be frustrated.
  • 41' Nicolo Radaelli adds to his 0 season tally! Mantova 1911 SSD lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Mantova 1911 SSDAlessandro De Benedetti on, Davis Mensah off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Mantova 1911 SSD are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Danilo Martelli. FC Sudtirol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Marco Festa. He receives a card.
  • 58' It is a substitution in FC Sudtirol team. Silvio Merkaj is replaced by Gabriele Gori on 58 minute.
  • 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 68' It is a substitution in FC Sudtirol team. Freddie Veseli is replaced by Andrea Masiello on 68 minute.
  • 73' Another change for Mantova 1911 SSD made on 73 minute. Antonio Fiori leaves to be changed by Francesco Ruocco.
  • 77' Alessandro Mallamo gets the nod from FC Sudtirol. He replaces Fabian Tait and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Mantova 1911 SSD make a change. Francesco Galuppini trudges off to be replaced by Davide Bragantini on 78 minutes.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Mantova 1911 SSD winning 50% of all matches.
  • 84' Mantova 1911 SSD ring the changes. Cristiano Bani has done his job and it is now time for Matteo Solini to step up.
  • 89' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • Mantova 1911 SSD celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 FC Sudtirol xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD46% Draw28% FC Sudtirol26%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Sudtirol
54%
Mantova 1911 SSD or FC Sudtirol
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mantova 1911 SSD31% Draw48% FC Sudtirol21%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Mantova 1911 SSD

Handicap Mantova 1911 SSD covers Push FC Sudtirol covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
34%
FC Sudtirol keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.