Thursday , 2 July 2026

Malaga CF vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
2 2
Full Time
Sat 31 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio La Rosaleda 19,337 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Eduardo Espiau
0–2 65' Fer Nino
Rodriguez Ruiz 82' 1–2
Julen Lobete 85' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs Burgos CFSegunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Malaga CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burgos CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May Burgos CF H 2–2 D
25 May Elche CF A 0–2 L
17 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
11 May CD Eldense A 0–1 L
03 May Granada CF H 1–0 W
27 Apr CD Castellon H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May Malaga CF A 2–2 D
25 May Levante UD H 2–3 L
17 May SD Eibar A 0–1 L
10 May Cordoba CF H 3–2 W
03 May Elche CF H 0–1 L
26 Apr CD Mirandes A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Malaga CF Burgos CF
#4 Position #7
73 Points 72
42 Played 42
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 10
75 Scored 48
52 Conceded 33
+23 GD +15
1.74 PPG 1.71
50% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Malaga CF launch into their encounter with Burgos CF.
  • 5' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Dioni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 9' What composure from Eduardo Espiau! The international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Malaga CF and Burgos CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' Florian Miguel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergio Pellicer Garcia might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 39' Burgos CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' Burgos CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' The Burgos CF manager makes a substitution. Florian Miguel departs to be replaced by Pipa.
  • 51' Marcelo Exposito is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Malaga CF so far.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Julen Lobete. He replaces Dioni on 56 minute.
  • 57' Another change for Malaga CF made on 57 minute. Manu Molina leaves to be changed by Juanpe.
  • 61' Burgos CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Borja Sanchez Laborde is hanging Eduardo Espiau on the field on 61 minute.
  • 65' The deadlock is broken! Fer Nino gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The whistle greets Kevin Villodres as he departs to be replaced by Roko Baturina.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Pastor Carayol, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio La Rosaleda with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 76' , a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 80' Malaga CF ring the changes. Izan Merino has done his job and it is now time for Rodriguez Ruiz to step up.
  • 82' GOAL! Rodriguez Ruiz fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 83' Elady Zorrilla gets the nod from Burgos CF. He replaces David Gonzalez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Julen Lobete adds to his 0 season tally! Malaga CF lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Marcelo Exposito. He replaces Inigo Cordoba on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.34 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Malaga CF or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Malaga CF45% Draw29% Burgos CF26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or Burgos CF
55%
Malaga CF or Burgos CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Malaga CF29% Draw50% Burgos CF21%
Actual: Burgos CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
35%
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.