Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Legia Warszawa vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Europe 2020-21 PLAY OFF ROUND

UEFA Europa League · 2020-21
Thu 1 Oct 2020 · 18:00 UTC Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Legia Warszawa vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Europe at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Schlager

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK H 0–3 L
24 Sep Drita KF Gjilan H 2–0 W
29 Aug Rangers FC A 0–1 L
22 Aug Rangers FC H 0–0 D
14 Aug PAE APS Atromitos Athina A 2–0 W
08 Aug PAE APS Atromitos Athina H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Legia Warszawa A 3–0 W
16 Sep Molde FK H 0–0 D
12 Dec F91 Diddeleng H 1–1 D
28 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–2 L
07 Nov APOEL FC A 1–2 L
24 Oct APOEL FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego. Legia Warszawa are looking to make home advantage count against Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Legia Warszawa are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Qarabag Agdam FK's shape.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Legia Warszawa in their trying to find a way past Qarabag Agdam FK's compact .
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdellah Zoubir suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Rafael Lopes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 365 appearances.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Legia Warszawa that had 117 games and scored 37 goals.
  • 40' Jaime Romero is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Qarabag Agdam FK tonight.
  • 45' Legia Warszawa receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' Patrick Andrade doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Igor Lewczuk.
  • 56' Another change for Legia Warszawa made on 56 minute. Rafael Lopes leaves to be changed by Pawel Wszolek.
  • 61' Uros Matic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' What composure from Abdellah Zoubir! The France international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 63' Luquinhas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Domagoj Antolic on 63 minute.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Abdellah Zoubir.
  • 66' Bartosz Kapustka makes way for Michal Karbownik at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Legia Warszawa.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Filip Ozobic gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaime Romero is hanging Filip Ozobic on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Qarabag Agdam FK! Elvin Cəfərquliyev comes on to replace Owusu Kwabena.
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Legia Warszawa and Qarabag Agdam FK are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Qarabag Agdam FK players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Legia Warszawa xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Legia Warszawa26% Draw29% Qarabag Agdam FK45%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Legia Warszawa or Draw
55%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
74%
Legia Warszawa or Qarabag Agdam FK
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Legia Warszawa18% Draw48% Qarabag Agdam FK34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Legia Warszawa

Handicap Legia Warszawa covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Legia Warszawa keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.