Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Beaton
- Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 2 David McGeachie
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Ross County FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Dec | Hibernian FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Jan | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Aberdeen FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 9 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Heart of Midlothian FC launch into their encounter with Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' Heart of Midlothian FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 7' Against the run of play, Elton Kabangu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 11' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Lewis Neilson on, Craig Halkett off on 11 minutes.
- 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jorge Grant, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 26' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' Robbie Deas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 41' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 3-5-2 shape.
- 42' It’s gonna be a card for Robbie Deas.
- 45' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Kyle Magennis gets a card.
- 46' Danny Armstrong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Calvin Ramsay at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Bobby Wales does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
- 54' Danny Armstrong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
- 58' The Scotland Jamie McCart breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 2-1!
- 61' What composure from Jorge Grant! The England international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 66' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 67' What composure from Fraser Murray! The Scotland international strokes it home. 3-2.
- 68' The crowd applauds Kyle Magennis as he leaves the pitch. David Watson steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- 69' Yan Dhanda gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Blair Spittal and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 81' David Watson is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
- 86' Danny Armstrong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 87' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Bruce Anderson comes on to replace Robbie Deas.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Malachi Boateng argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Elton Kabangu makes way for Malachi Boateng at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
- It finishes all square. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Jorge Grant ↓ Musa Drammeh 69'
- 14
- 1
-
4
Craig Halkett ↓ Lewis Neilson 11'
- 30
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ Yan Dhanda 69'
-
19
Elton Kabangu ↓ Malachi Boateng 90'
- 29
- 21
- 35
Bench
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 69'
- 28
- 17
-
9
Lawrence Shankland ↑ 69'
-
23
Lewis Neilson ↑ 11'
-
18
Malachi Boateng ↑ 90'
- 77
-
37
Musa Drammeh ↑ 69'
- 82
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 4
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ David Watson 68'
- 15
- 1
- 3
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Liam Donnelly 68'
- 5
-
–
Calvin Ramsay ↓ Danny Armstrong 46'
-
6
Robbie Deas ↓ Bruce Anderson 87'
- 24
Bench
- 14
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 87'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 68'
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↑ 46'
-
12
David Watson ↑ 68'
- 30
- 29
- 25
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Nathaniel Atkinson | 1 |
| Bruce Anderson | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
Kilmarnock FC
W
2025-01-12
Aberdeen FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2025-01-05
Dundee United FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-01-02
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Motherwell FC
W
2024-12-29
Ross County FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2024-12-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–2
Hibernian FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
5
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 93% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 3.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 4.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
22%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
4 – 1
6.9%
5 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
6 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
5.3%
5 – 0
5.2%
4 – 2
4.6%
5 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.4%
6 – 0
4.3%
7 – 1
4.1%
6 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| -2 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| -1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| -1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.