Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Beaton
- Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 2 David McGeachie
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Ross County FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Dec | Hibernian FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Jan | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Aberdeen FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #11 |
| 70 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 58 | Scored | 37 |
| 28 | Conceded | 65 |
| +30 | GD | -28 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 64% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Tynecastle Park!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 7' The Belgium Elton Kabangu breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-0!
- 11' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Craig Halkett trudges off to be replaced by Lewis Neilson on 11 minutes.
- 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 42' Robbie Deas was booked on 42.
- 45' Kyle Magennis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 46 minute. Calvin Ramsay leaves to be changed by Danny Armstrong.
- 50' The Scotland Bobby Wales breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 1-1!
- 54' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Danny Armstrong gets a card.
- 58' What a strike from Jamie McCart! The score is 2-1.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Jorge Grant makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 61.
- 66' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 3-5-2 shape.
- 67' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Fraser Murray makes no mistake. 3-2!
- 68' David Watson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Magennis at the 68 minute mark.
- 69' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Blair Spittal exits the field as Yan Dhanda enters on 69.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 81' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 81.
- 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 87' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Bruce Anderson on, Robbie Deas off on 87 minutes.
- 90' Malachi Boateng catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Elton Kabangu as he departs to be replaced by Malachi Boateng.
- With this win, Heart of Midlothian FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Jorge Grant ↓ Musa Drammeh 69'
- 14
- 1
-
4
Craig Halkett ↓ Lewis Neilson 11'
- 30
-
16
Blair Spittal ↓ Yan Dhanda 69'
-
19
Elton Kabangu ↓ Malachi Boateng 90'
- 29
- 21
- 35
Bench
-
20
Yan Dhanda ↑ 69'
- 28
- 17
-
9
Lawrence Shankland ↑ 69'
-
23
Lewis Neilson ↑ 11'
-
18
Malachi Boateng ↑ 90'
- 77
-
37
Musa Drammeh ↑ 69'
- 82
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 4
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ David Watson 68'
- 15
- 1
- 3
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Liam Donnelly 68'
- 5
-
–
Calvin Ramsay ↓ Danny Armstrong 46'
-
6
Robbie Deas ↓ Bruce Anderson 87'
- 24
Bench
- 14
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 87'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 68'
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↑ 46'
-
12
David Watson ↑ 68'
- 30
- 29
- 25
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Craig Halkett | 1 |
| Kenneth Vargas | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
Kilmarnock FC
W
2025-01-12
Aberdeen FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2025-01-05
Dundee United FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-01-02
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Motherwell FC
W
2024-12-29
Ross County FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2024-12-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–2
Hibernian FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

