Thursday , 1 October 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
3 – 2
Full Time
Kilmarnock FC
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,677 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elton Kabangu 7' 1–0
1–1 50' Bobby Wales
Jamie McCart 58' 2–1
Jorge Grant 61' 3–1
3–2 67' Fraser Murray
Y 42' Robbie Deas
Y 45' Kyle Magennis
Jorge Grant 45' Y
Y 45' Marley Watkins
Y 54' Danny Armstrong
Y 81' David Watson
Malachi Boateng 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 David McGeachie
4 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Celtic FC 7 18
2 Rangers FC 7 16
3 Heart of Midlothian FC 7 13
4 Dundee FC 7 10
5 St. Mirren FC 7 10
6 St. Johnstone FC 7 8
7 Aberdeen FC 7 8
8 Motherwell FC 7 8
9 Dundee United FC 7 8
10 Hibernian FC 7 7
11 Falkirk FC 7 6
12 Kilmarnock FC 7 5

Head-to-Head

7
6
9
Heart of Midlothian FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
05 Jan Dundee United FC A 1–0 W
02 Jan Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Ross County FC A 2–2 D
26 Dec Hibernian FC H 1–2 L
Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–3 L
08 Jan Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ross County FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Aberdeen FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#3 Position #12
13 Points 5
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
14 Scored 6
8 Conceded 15
+6 GD -9
1.86 PPG 0.71
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
Kilmarnock FC
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Greg Kiltie 1 G
Joe Hugill 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Tynecastle Park as Heart of Midlothian FC face off against Kilmarnock FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Danny Armstrong is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
  • 7' Brilliant from the ! Elton Kabangu makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 7.
  • 11' Craig Halkett makes way for Lewis Neilson at the 11 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Tynecastle Park. Heart of Midlothian FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' Heart of Midlothian FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 31' Joe Wright needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 36' Jamie McCart has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 1 appearances.
  • 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 265 games and scored 275 goals.
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Robbie Deas.
  • 45' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Kyle Magennis will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Danny Armstrong gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Calvin Ramsay and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' The Scotland forward Bobby Wales breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 1-1!
  • 54' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 58' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie McCart makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 61' The England Jorge Grant breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 3-1!
  • 66' The travelling Kilmarnock FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' Goal! Fraser Murray scores his 4 goal in 301 matches.
  • 68' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Magennis departs to be replaced by David Watson.
  • 69' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Blair Spittal trudges off to be replaced by Yan Dhanda on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Watson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 81' A moment of madness from David Watson on 81 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
  • 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 87' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Robbie Deas departs to be replaced by Bruce Anderson.
  • 90' Malachi Boateng catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Malachi Boateng is replacing Elton Kabangu for the Heart of Midlothian FC side.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chris Burke 4
Lawrence Shankland 3
Sean Clare 2
Stuart Findlay 2
Danny Armstrong 2
Eamonn Brophy 2
Stephen Kingsley 2
Craig Halkett 1

Head to Head

2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-01-12 Aberdeen FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2025-01-05 Dundee United FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-01-02 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Motherwell FC W 2024-12-29 Ross County FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC L 2025-01-08 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Motherwell FC D 2025-01-05 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Ross County FC L 2025-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2024-12-29 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-12-26 Kilmarnock FC 4–0 Aberdeen FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.82 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC67% Draw18% Kilmarnock FC15%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
33%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC55% Draw34% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.2%
5 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 20% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.