Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,677 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elton Kabangu 7' 1–0
1–1 50' Bobby Wales
Jamie McCart 58' 2–1
Jorge Grant 61' 3–1
3–2 67' Fraser Murray

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 David McGeachie
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
05 Jan Dundee United FC A 1–0 W
02 Jan Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Ross County FC A 2–2 D
26 Dec Hibernian FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–3 L
08 Jan Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
05 Jan Ross County FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Aberdeen FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#1 Position #11
70 Points 28
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
58 Scored 37
28 Conceded 65
+30 GD -28
2.12 PPG 0.85
64% Win % 18%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Tynecastle Park!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 7' The Belgium Elton Kabangu breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-0!
  • 11' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Craig Halkett trudges off to be replaced by Lewis Neilson on 11 minutes.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
  • 42' Robbie Deas was booked on 42.
  • 45' Kyle Magennis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 46 minute. Calvin Ramsay leaves to be changed by Danny Armstrong.
  • 50' The Scotland Bobby Wales breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 1-1!
  • 54' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Danny Armstrong gets a card.
  • 58' What a strike from Jamie McCart! The score is 2-1.
  • 61' Brilliant from the ! Jorge Grant makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 61.
  • 66' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 67' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Fraser Murray makes no mistake. 3-2!
  • 68' David Watson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Magennis at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Blair Spittal exits the field as Yan Dhanda enters on 69.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 81.
  • 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCBruce Anderson on, Robbie Deas off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Malachi Boateng catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Elton Kabangu as he departs to be replaced by Malachi Boateng.
  • With this win, Heart of Midlothian FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC62% Draw21% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC48% Draw39% Kilmarnock FC13%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.