Sunday , 4 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 11 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Grant Irvine

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb St. Mirren FC H 4–3 W
04 Feb Rangers FC A 1–5 L
31 Jan Aberdeen FC H 3–0 W
24 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–4 L
10 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan Hibernian FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Dundee FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #5
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 9
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. St. Mirren FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 4-3.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 77% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC43% Draw23% St. Mirren FC34%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
66%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
57%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC29% Draw40% St. Mirren FC31%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.