Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League .
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Grant Irvine
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | St. Mirren FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 04 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 31 Jan | Aberdeen FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Motherwell FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Jan | Livingston FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 03 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Livingston FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | Falkirk FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | St. Mirren FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 7 / 9 / 17 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 65 | Conceded | 48 |
| -28 | GD | -21 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Kilmarnock FC to score. At the same time, St. Mirren FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-3.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Findlay Curtis | 2 |
| Caolan Boyd Munce | 2 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
74%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
49%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | St. Mirren FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.