Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 11 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Grant Irvine

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb St. Mirren FC H 4–3 W
04 Feb Rangers FC A 1–5 L
31 Jan Aberdeen FC H 3–0 W
24 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–4 L
10 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan Hibernian FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Dundee FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #2
0 Points 6
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 3
9 Conceded 0
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). St. Mirren FC are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.19 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw17% St. Mirren FC58%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
42%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
75%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC13% Draw31% St. Mirren FC56%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
1 – 4
6.1%
1 – 1
5.4%
0 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 5
4%
2 – 4
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 7% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 27% 73%
+1 27% 18% 55%
+1.5 45% 55%
+2 45% 19% 36%
+2.5 64% 36%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
5%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.