Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FC — Premier League .
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Falkirk FC 33 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Falkirk FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | St. Mirren FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Celtic FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Dundee United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Feb | Dundee FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Livingston FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Falkirk FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 70 | Points | 46 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 13 |
| 58 | Scored | 45 |
| 28 | Conceded | 48 |
| +30 | GD | -3 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 64% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Falkirk FC are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Heart of Midlothian FC get us underway at .
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Falkirk FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Frankie Kent | 1 |
| Cameron Devlin | 1 |
| Blair Spittal | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-02-21
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Falkirk FC
W
2026-02-15
Rangers FC
4–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-02-10
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Hibernian FC
W
2026-02-03
St. Mirren FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-01-31
Dundee United FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–2
Celtic FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
Falkirk FC xG
I would bet for:
Heart of Midlothian FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Falkirk FC
35%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Falkirk FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 1
9.9%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
2.6%
1 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Falkirk FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Falkirk FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

