Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Falkirk FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Rangers FC A 2–4 L
10 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
25 Jan Celtic FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Dundee United FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb Dundee FC H 1–0 W
04 Feb Livingston FC A 2–1 W
01 Feb Celtic FC A 0–2 L
24 Jan Hibernian FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Falkirk FC
#1 Position #6
70 Points 46
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 7 / 13
58 Scored 45
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -3
2.12 PPG 1.39
64% Win % 39%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Falkirk FC are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Falkirk FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Falkirk FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC65% Draw23% Falkirk FC12%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Falkirk FC
35%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Falkirk FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw45% Falkirk FC9%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 1
9.9%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
2.6%
1 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Falkirk FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 21% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Falkirk FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.