Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League .
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kevin Clancy
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Falkirk FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | St. Mirren FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Dundee United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | Dundee FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Motherwell FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Jan | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jan | Livingston FC | H | 6–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #8 |
| 70 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 18 |
| 58 | Scored | 33 |
| 28 | Conceded | 48 |
| +30 | GD | -15 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heart of Midlothian FC to score. At the same time, Aberdeen FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Aberdeen FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 5 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 4 |
| Duk | 3 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 3 |
| Steven Naismith | 2 |
| Michael Smith | 2 |
| Liam Boyce | 2 |
| Matthew Pollock | 2 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-02-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Aberdeen FC
W
2026-02-21
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Falkirk FC
W
2026-02-15
Rangers FC
4–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-02-10
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Hibernian FC
W
2026-02-03
St. Mirren FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-01-31
Dundee United FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.38
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
35%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
17.1%
0 – 0
15.9%
3 – 0
9%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
1.6%
1 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 6% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
69%
✓
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

