Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 25 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 3–2 W
19 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
15 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Júbilo Iwata A 2–3 L
19 May Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
15 May Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
11 May FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare — let the football do the talking.
  • 1' Lukian does the damage! The net is bulging and Shonan Bellmare surge ahead!
  • 6' Daiki Sugioka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 11' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Poor challenge from Rikiya Uehara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 29' What a moment for Sho Fukuda! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 34' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' Jubilo Iwata have won 151 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' Hiroki Yamada does the damage! The net is bulging and Jubilo Iwata surge ahead!
  • 54' Shonan Bellmare player sees a card in front of him.
  • 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Hiroki Yamada makes way for Shota Kaneko at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
  • 63' Ko Matsubara catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
  • 68' Taiyo Hiraoka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 69' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Masaki Ikeda departs to be replaced by Kohei Okuno.
  • 74' Jubilo Iwata receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Akira Silvano Disaro on, Sho Fukuda off on 76 minutes.
  • 77' A change in the Jubilo Iwata ranks — Masaya Matsumoto exits the field as Bruno Jose enters on 77.
  • 82' What a moment for Matheus Peixoto! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 86' A stunning finish from Leo Gomes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' Daiki Sugioka makes way for Akimi Barada at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shonan Bellmare.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata48% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare26%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Júbilo Iwata or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata33% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare22%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.