Júbilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Júbilo Iwata

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 07:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Leo Gomes 40' Y

Y 43' Sho Sasaki

Ryo Germain 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Júbilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-07-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-04-17 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-08-31 Júbilo Iwata 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
14 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W
25 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–4	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Yamaha Stadium that hosts another battle between Jubilo Iwata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' Jubilo Iwata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
10' Jubilo Iwata have won 151 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Hiroto Uemura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
20' It is a cagey affair so far. Jubilo Iwata in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Jubilo Iwata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
35' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
40' Leo Gomes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
41' Sho Sasaki does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
43' Sho Sasaki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
46' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Naoto Arai on, Goncalo Paciencia off on 46 minutes.
51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
52' Brilliant from the ! Ko Matsubara makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 52.
57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Jubilo Iwata must find a spark to ignite this game.
62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
70' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 70 minute. Tolgay Arslan leaves to be changed by Pieros Sotiriou.
71' The crowd applauds Makito Ito as he leaves the pitch. Shunsuke Nishikubo steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
78' Against the run of play, Mutsuki Kato has scored! This game has turned on its head.
81' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryo Germain.
81' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tsukasa Shiotani is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
82' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Jose is hanging Shun Nakamura on the field on 82 minute.
87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
88' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroki Yamada is hanging Hiroto Uemura on the field on 88 minute.
90' The whistle greets Mutsuki Kato as he departs to be replaced by Douglas Vieira.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 81'
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Douglas Vieira 90'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 90'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sho Sasaki	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Yuto Suzuki	2
Takuya Wada	1
Teerasil Dangda	1
Tsukasa Morishima	1
Kengo Kawamata	1
Hayato Araki	1

Head to Head

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Júbilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-08-25 Júbilo Iwata 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-08-17 FC Machida Zelvia 4–0 Júbilo Iwata L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Júbilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata25% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima48%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw

53%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

75%

Júbilo Iwata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Júbilo Iwata20% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap	Júbilo Iwata covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.