Júbilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Júbilo Iwata

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 07:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Leo Gomes 40' Y

Y 43' Sho Sasaki

Ryo Germain 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Júbilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-07-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-04-17 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-08-31 Júbilo Iwata 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
14 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W
25 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–4	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Jubilo Iwata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima get this one started.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Jubilo Iwata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' Shun Nakamura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' Hayao Kawabe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Jubilo Iwata tonight.
20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keisuke Osako is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Jubilo Iwata.
25' Leo Gomes has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
30' Jubilo Iwata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
40' Leo Gomes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
41' What a moment for Sho Sasaki! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Goncalo Paciencia has done his job and it is now time for Naoto Arai to step up.
51' Jubilo Iwata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
52' The deadlock is broken! Ko Matsubara gets on the scoresheet on 52 minutes.
57' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
70' Pieros Sotiriou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tolgay Arslan at the 70 minute mark.
71' The Jubilo Iwata bench stirs into life. Makito Ito is withdrawn and Shunsuke Nishikubo gets his opportunity.
76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
78' GOAL! Mutsuki Kato scores on 78. Assisted by Taishi Matsumoto
81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryo Germain on 81 minutes.
81' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Tsukasa Shiotani is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta on 81 minute.
82' The Jubilo Iwata bench stirs into life. Shun Nakamura is withdrawn and Bruno Jose gets his opportunity.
87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
88' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 88 minute. Hiroto Uemura leaves to be changed by Hiroki Yamada.
90' Douglas Vieira gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Mutsuki Kato and will look to change the dynamic.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 81'
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Douglas Vieira 90'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 90'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sho Sasaki	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Yuto Suzuki	2
Teerasil Dangda	1
Tsukasa Morishima	1
Kengo Kawamata	1
Hayato Araki	1
Nagisa Sakurauchi	1

Head to Head

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Júbilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-08-25 Júbilo Iwata 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-08-17 FC Machida Zelvia 4–0 Júbilo Iwata L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Júbilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata25% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima48%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw

53%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

75%

Júbilo Iwata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Júbilo Iwata20% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap	Júbilo Iwata covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.