Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Jubilo Iwata get this one started.
- 5' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Hassan Hilo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Poor challenge from Keiya Shiihashi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Jubilo Iwata's shape.
- 46' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Shiihashi on 46 minute.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 52' Assisted by Kensuke Nagai with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akinobu Yokouchi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Jordy Croux comes on to replace Masaya Matsumoto.
- 65' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Katsuhiro Nakayama to step up.
- 68' A moment of madness from Hassan Hilo on 68 minutes earns him a card. Jubilo Iwata will be frustrated.
- 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 77' Hiroki Yamada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryo Watanabe at the 77 minute mark.
- 80' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 80 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Taichi Kikuchi.
- 82' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Hiroto Uemura is replaced by Matheus Peixoto.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Chang-rae Ha on 90 minutes.
- Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Patric 46'
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 80'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
- 7
- 24
- 55
- 20
Bench
- 66
-
10
Patric ↑ 46'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 65'
- 77
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 80'
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Júbilo Iwata Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 11
- 4
-
14
Masaya Matsumoto ↓ Jordy Croux 62'
- 18
- 25
-
36
Ricardo Graca ↓ Kaito Suzuki 77'
-
55
Ryo Watanabe ↓ Hiroki Yamada 77'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↓ Matheus Peixoto 82'
- 32
Bench
-
99
Matheus Peixoto ↑ 82'
-
23
Jordy Croux ↑ 62'
- 21
- 13
-
10
Hiroki Yamada ↑ 77'
-
15
Kaito Suzuki ↑ 77'
-
26
Shunsuke Nishikubo ↑ 77'
Coach
Akinobu Yokouchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 3 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Yuki Otsu | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 1 |
| Masaya Matsumoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Júbilo Iwata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Júbilo Iwata
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Júbilo Iwata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

