Saturday , 22 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
17 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 0–4 L
11 Aug Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Jubilo Iwata get this one started.
  • 5' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Hassan Hilo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Poor challenge from Keiya Shiihashi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Jubilo Iwata's shape.
  • 46' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Shiihashi on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' Assisted by Kensuke Nagai with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akinobu Yokouchi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Jordy Croux comes on to replace Masaya Matsumoto.
  • 65' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Katsuhiro Nakayama to step up.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Hassan Hilo on 68 minutes earns him a card. Jubilo Iwata will be frustrated.
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 77' Hiroki Yamada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryo Watanabe at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 80 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Hiroto Uemura is replaced by Matheus Peixoto.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Chang-rae Ha on 90 minutes.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus54% Draw27% Júbilo Iwata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Júbilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw49% Júbilo Iwata16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44%
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.