Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tokyo A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
17 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 0–4 L
11 Aug Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Júbilo Iwata is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shun Nakamura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Japan international Ryo Watanabe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tsukasa Morishima is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Keiya Shiihashi on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Patric. He replaces Keiya Shiihashi on 46 minute.
  • 51' Júbilo Iwata is showing some good football. However, Júbilo Iwata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Masaya Matsumoto has done his job and it is now time for Jordy Croux to step up.
  • 65' Katsuhiro Nakayama gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Ryuji Izumi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' It’s gonna be a card for Hassan Hilo.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 446 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Hiroki Yamada comes on to replace Ryo Watanabe.
  • 80' Kensuke Nagai makes way for Taichi Kikuchi at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 82' Matheus Peixoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Uemura on 82 minute.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Tsukasa Morishima as he leaves the pitch. Chang-rae Ha steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Júbilo Iwata share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus54% Draw27% Júbilo Iwata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Júbilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw49% Júbilo Iwata16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.