Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

6 – 2

Full Time

Yokohama F.Marinos

Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 09:30 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 3.5 goals Yokohama F.Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2024-06-19 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-06-24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Yokohama F.Marinos 2023-03-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-07-06 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–6	L
13 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
24 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	4–0	W
17 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–1	W
11 Aug	Vissel Kobe	H	1–2	L
07 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama F.Marinos
#4	Position	#18
30	Points	20
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 12
41	Scored	31
33	Conceded	35
+8	GD	-4
1.67	PPG	1.11
56%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Yokohama F.Marinos are 18th (20 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Yokohama F·Marinos — let the battle begin!
3' GOAL! Mutsuki Kato scores on 3. Assisted by Hayao Kawabe
8' Yokohama F·Marinos is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riku Yamane suffering a number of foals already.
18' Taiki Watanabe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 110 appearances.
19' GOAL! Kenta Inoue scores on 19. Assisted by Jun Amano
22' Sensational shot from Tolgay Arslan. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is back in the lead.
27' Katsuya Nagato, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' Yokohama F.Marinos ring the changes. Jun Amano has done his job and it is now time for Asahi Uenaka to step up.
33' Yokohama F·Marinos are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
40' A stunning finish from Tolgay Arslan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
45' Sho Sasaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
46' GOAL! Anderson Lopes scores on 45. Assisted by Kota Watanabe
46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Goncalo Paciencia exits the field as Naoto Arai enters on 46.
48' Naoto Arai makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
59' It is a substitution in Yokohama F.Marinos team. Riku Yamane is replaced by Keigo Sakakibara on 59 minute.
64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
69' It looks like no one’s ball. Yokohama F·Marinos is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
72' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tolgay Arslan is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
77' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 427 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
81' Time for substitution for Yokohama F.Marinos. Kenta Inoue is replaced by Kota Mizunuma.
82' Taiki Watanabe gets the nod from Yokohama F.Marinos. He replaces Katsuya Nagato and will look to change the dynamic.
83' Against the run of play, Shunki Higashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
87' Pieros Sotiriou gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Mutsuki Kato and will look to change the dynamic.
90' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 90 minute. Shunki Higashi leaves to be changed by Osamu Henry Iyoha.
It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Yokohama F·Marinos share the spoils 6-2.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 90'
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Osamu Henry Iyoha 90'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 72'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 87'

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 90'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 87'
9
Douglas Vieira
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 72'
27
Osamu Henry Iyoha ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 81'
26
Yuta Koike
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 28'
39
Taiki Watanabe ↑ 82'
35
Keigo Sakakibara ↑ 59'
41
Riku Terakado
16
Ren Kato ↑ 82'

Coach John Hutchinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daizen Maeda	4
Patric	4
Patric	4
Anderson Lopes	3
Shunki Higashi	3
Yan Santos	2
Erik	2
Leandro Pereira	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2024-09-13 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2024-08-24 Yokohama F.Marinos 4–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-17 Kawasaki Frontale 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-08-11 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-08-07 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.77 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima58% Draw20% Yokohama F.Marinos22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

78%

Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos

42%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Yokohama F.Marinos

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima46% Draw34% Yokohama F.Marinos20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted

6 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.5%

3 – 1

6.7%

1 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

4.6%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 2

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	17%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	19%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	11%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.