Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tōkyō.
- 5' The deadlock is broken! Tolgay Arslan gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Hayao Kawabe is booked for Sanfrecce Hiroshima — card on 29.
- 32' The Germany Tolgay Arslan breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 2-0!
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Japan international Sho Sasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 47' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Keisuke Osako has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 52' Kanta Doi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 437 appearances.
- 56' Tsukasa Shiotani gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Hayao Kawabe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Tolgay Arslan makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 62.
- 64' Keita Endo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryotaro Araki on 64 minute.
- 66' The crowd applauds Tolgay Arslan as he leaves the pitch. Douglas Vieira steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 71' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Diego Oliveira by Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa on 71 minute.
- 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
- 79' Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa adds to his 0 season tally! FC Tokyo lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 89' Hayato Araki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' Douglas Vieira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 56'
- 24
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 66'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Douglas Vieira 66'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 56'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 66'
- 25
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 66'
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 66'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 9
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Keigo Higashi 71'
- 37
- 41
- 2
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Keita Endo 64'
-
98
Everton ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 64'
- 32
Bench
- 5
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 71'
-
22
Keita Endo ↑ 64'
- 13
-
11
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa ↑ 71'
- 44
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 64'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tokyo
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Tokyo
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

