Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 2

Full Time

FC Tokyo

Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 09:30 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Hayao Kawabe 29' Y

Douglas Vieira 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tokyo

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo 2024-03-02 FC Tokyo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo 2022-07-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
07 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–0	W
21 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L
17 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D
11 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–3	L
07 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D
20 Jul	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo
#4	Position	#12
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	55
33	Conceded	42
+8	GD	+13
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Tokyo

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

FC Tokyo

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tōkyō is underway.
5' Magnificent from Tolgay Arslan! That is 25 goals in 458 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shunki Higashi, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Makoto Mitsuta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
20' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masato Morishige made 441 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
29' Hayao Kawabe is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
32' Tolgay Arslan does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
37' Naoto Arai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tōkyō so far.
42' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
47' Shuto Nakano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
52' FC Tōkyō are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
56' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayao Kawabe is replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani.
61' Kei Koizumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
62' Brilliant from the midfielder! Tolgay Arslan makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 62.
64' Ryotaro Araki makes way for Keita Endo at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
66' Tolgay Arslan makes way for Douglas Vieira at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
71' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa comes on to replace Diego Oliveira.
76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
79' The deadlock is broken! Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa gets on the scoresheet on 79 minutes.
84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Peter Cklamovski will be considering his options from the bench.
90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

3
Masato Morishige
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 71'
99
Kosuke Shirai
39
Teruhito Nakagawa
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Keigo Higashi 71'
37
Kei Koizumi
41
Taishi Nozawa
2
Hotaka Nakamura
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Keita Endo 64'
98
Everton ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 64'
32
Kanta Doi

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	5
Tolgay Arslan	3
Adailton	3
Tsukasa Morishima	3
Hayao Kawabe	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hotaka Nakamura	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-07 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Tokyo Form

2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-24 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tokyo L 2024-08-17 FC Tokyo 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D 2024-08-11 FC Tokyo 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-08-07 Gamba Osaka 0–0 FC Tokyo D 2024-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 FC Tokyo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.47 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.82 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw20% FC Tokyo25%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

76%

Draw or FC Tokyo

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima40% Draw36% FC Tokyo24%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.5%

4 – 2

3.4%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.