Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tōkyō get this one started.
- 5' Brilliant from the midfielder! Tolgay Arslan makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 5.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Peter Cklamovski might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosuke Shirai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tōkyō.
- 29' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayao Kawabe will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Tolgay Arslan doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
- 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Osako suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Hayao Kawabe is replaced by Tsukasa Shiotani on 56 minute.
- 61' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Masato Morishige has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' GOAL! Tolgay Arslan fires home to make it 3-0!
- 64' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Keita Endo comes on to replace Ryotaro Araki.
- 66' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Tolgay Arslan exits the field as Douglas Vieira enters on 66.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa. He replaces Diego Oliveira on 71 minute.
- 76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' Assisted by Kota Tawaratsumida with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tōkyō are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 89' Keigo Higashi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Douglas Vieira argues furiously but the card stands.
- It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tōkyō share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 56'
- 24
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 66'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Douglas Vieira 66'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 56'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 66'
- 25
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 66'
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 66'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 9
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Keigo Higashi 71'
- 37
- 41
- 2
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Keita Endo 64'
-
98
Everton ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 64'
- 32
Bench
- 5
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 71'
-
22
Keita Endo ↑ 64'
- 13
-
11
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa ↑ 71'
- 44
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 64'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tokyo
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Tokyo
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

