Italy vs Sweden, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Sweden Lineups
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H2H
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.69 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.85 Sweden xGI would bet for: Italy to win 58%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.54Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 72% 28% ± 2.5 46% 54% ± 3.5 26% 74% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 83%Draw or Sweden 42%Italy or Sweden 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 12.4%1 – 1 12.1%2 – 0 11%0 – 0 9.8%2 – 1 9.2%3 – 0 6.1%0 – 1 5.7%3 – 1 Actual1 – 2 4.6%2 – 2 4%0 – 2 2.8%4 – 0 2.6%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Sweden covers -2.5 14% — 86% -2 14% 17% 69% -1.5 31% — 69% -1 31% 24% 44% -0.5 56% — 44% +0.5 83% — 17% +1 83% 12% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 4% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 43% ✓Sweden keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.