Italy vs Sweden, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Sweden Lineups
H2H
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Italy to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Sweden
42%
Italy or Sweden
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
11%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.