Italy vs Sweden, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Sweden — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Adam Farkas
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Gyorgy Ring
- Referee Vencel Toth
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Italy launch into their encounter with Sweden.
- 5' Italy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Italy and Sweden are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Sweden is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' It looks surprising Sweden does not make any changes. Andrea Barzagli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' Sweden international Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sweden needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Andreas Isaksson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Simone Zaza. He replaces Graziano Pelle on 59 minute.
- 64' Italy have won 42 goals from 111 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 69' Controversy at the stadium! Daniele De Rossi argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 74' The crowd applauds Daniele De Rossi as he leaves the pitch. Thiago Motta steps in for Italy.
- 79' Another change for Sweden made on 79 minute. Albin Ekdal leaves to be changed by Oscar Lewicki.
- 84' The travelling Sweden supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 85' Alessandro Florenzi makes way for Stefano Sturaro at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
- 88' Eder doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' Gianluigi Buffon is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 74'
- 8
- 6
- 18
- 23
-
9
Graziano Pelle ↓ Simone Zaza 59'
- 17
Bench
- 4
- 5
- 2
- 21
- 20
- 22
- 12
-
7
Simone Zaza ↑ 59'
- 11
- 13
-
14
Stefano Sturaro ↑ 85'
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 74'
Coach
Antonio Conte
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 14
-
6
Emil Forsberg ↓ Jimmy Durmaz 79'
-
20
John Guidetti ↓ Markus Berg 85'
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ Oscar Lewicki 79'
- 10
- 4
- 7
- 1
- 9
- 3
Bench
- 17
- 13
-
21
Jimmy Durmaz ↑ 79'
- 19
- 12
- 15
-
18
Oscar Lewicki ↑ 79'
- 2
-
11
Markus Berg ↑ 85'
- 16
- 23
- 10
Coach
Erik Hamren
H2H
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Sweden
49%
Italy or Sweden
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 13% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.