Italy vs Sweden, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Sweden — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Adam Farkas
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Gyorgy Ring
- Referee Vencel Toth
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Italy and Sweden.
- 5' Italy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sweden's shape.
- 10' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Oscar Lewicki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Emanuele Giaccherini has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Andrea Barzagli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Markus Berg suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' Antonio Candreva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sweden tonight.
- 45' Eder has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 50' Sweden are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' Another substitution for Italy to replace Graziano Pelle by Simone Zaza on 59 minute.
- 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniele De Rossi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sweden.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Daniele De Rossi.
- 74' Another change for Italy made on 74 minute. Daniele De Rossi leaves to be changed by Thiago Motta.
- 79' The crowd applauds Albin Ekdal as he leaves the pitch. Oscar Lewicki steps in for Sweden.
- 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Stefano Sturaro. He replaces Alessandro Florenzi on 85 minute.
- 88' What composure from Eder! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gianluigi Buffon.
- It finishes all square. Italy and Sweden share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 74'
- 8
- 6
- 18
- 23
-
9
Graziano Pelle ↓ Simone Zaza 59'
- 17
Bench
- 4
- 5
- 2
- 21
- 20
- 22
- 12
-
7
Simone Zaza ↑ 59'
- 11
- 13
-
14
Stefano Sturaro ↑ 85'
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 74'
Coach
Antonio Conte
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 14
-
6
Emil Forsberg ↓ Jimmy Durmaz 79'
-
20
John Guidetti ↓ Markus Berg 85'
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ Oscar Lewicki 79'
- 10
- 4
- 7
- 1
- 9
- 3
Bench
- 17
- 13
-
21
Jimmy Durmaz ↑ 79'
- 19
- 12
- 15
-
18
Oscar Lewicki ↑ 79'
- 2
-
11
Markus Berg ↑ 85'
- 16
- 23
- 10
Coach
Erik Hamren
H2H
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Sweden
49%
Italy or Sweden
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 13% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.