Italy vs Sweden, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Sweden — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Adam Farkas
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Gyorgy Ring
- Referee Vencel Toth
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at as Italy face off against Sweden in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Andrea Barzagli, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Italy and Sweden are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Antonio Conte will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' Simone Zaza is ready to make an impact after coming on for Graziano Pelle at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Graziano Pelle, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Daniele De Rossi is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 69.
- 74' Fresh legs for Italy! Thiago Motta comes on to replace Daniele De Rossi.
- 79' The Sweden bench stirs into life. Albin Ekdal is withdrawn and Oscar Lewicki gets his opportunity.
- 84' Sweden is showing some good football. However, Sweden are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' Stefano Sturaro is replacing Alessandro Florenzi for the Italy side.
- 88' What composure from Eder! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 90' Gianluigi Buffon is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The points are shared — Italy 1-0 Sweden. Honours even.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 74'
- 8
- 6
- 18
- 23
-
9
Graziano Pelle ↓ Simone Zaza 59'
- 17
Bench
- 4
- 5
- 2
- 21
- 20
- 22
- 12
-
7
Simone Zaza ↑ 59'
- 11
- 13
-
14
Stefano Sturaro ↑ 85'
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 74'
Coach
Antonio Conte
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 14
-
6
Emil Forsberg ↓ Jimmy Durmaz 79'
-
20
John Guidetti ↓ Markus Berg 85'
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ Oscar Lewicki 79'
- 10
- 4
- 7
- 1
- 9
- 3
Bench
- 17
- 13
-
21
Jimmy Durmaz ↑ 79'
- 19
- 12
- 15
-
18
Oscar Lewicki ↑ 79'
- 2
-
11
Markus Berg ↑ 85'
- 16
- 23
- 10
Coach
Erik Hamren
H2H
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Sweden
49%
Italy or Sweden
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 13% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.