Thursday , 2 July 2026

Italy vs Sweden, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2016
Italy
1 – 0
Full Time
Sweden
Fri 17 Jun 2016 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniele De Rossi 69' Y
Gianluigi Buffon 90' Y
Y 90' Martin Olsson

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Sweden — European Championship .

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Farkas
  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Referee Viktor Kassai
  • Referee Gyorgy Ring
  • Referee Vencel Toth

Head-to-Head

3
Italy 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sweden
Last 5 meetings
2016-06-17 Italy 1–0 Sweden

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jun Sweden H 1–0 W
13 Jun Belgium A 2–0 W
Sweden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jun Italy A 0–1 L
13 Jun Republic of Ireland A 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Italy kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Sweden have won 17 goals from 108 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Italy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sweden backline.
  • 15' Sweden seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The travelling Sweden supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Sweden is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sebastian Larsson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Italy.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at . Sweden seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Antonio Conte might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Italy team. Graziano Pelle is replaced by Simone Zaza on 59 minute.
  • 64' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Markus Berg has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' Daniele De Rossi is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Italy. Daniele De Rossi is replaced by Thiago Motta.
  • 79' Oscar Lewicki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Albin Ekdal at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' It looks like no one’s ball. Italy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Italy ring the changes. Alessandro Florenzi has done his job and it is now time for Stefano Sturaro to step up.
  • 88' Italy is taking the lead after the goal scored by Eder on 88.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Gianluigi Buffon.
  • 1-0 the final result. Sweden will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Antonio Conte

Sweden Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Erik Hamren

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Sweden xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy51% Draw31% Sweden18%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Sweden
49%
Italy or Sweden
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Italy31% Draw57% Sweden12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Sweden covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 27% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Sweden keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.