Italy vs Ukraine, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Ukraine
46%
Italy or Ukraine
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.