Russia vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Italy kicks off things out of here…
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Russia Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Russia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.01
Russia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Russia or Italy 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Russia or Draw
63%
Draw or Italy
68%
Russia or Italy
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Russia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
12%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Russia
| Handicap | Russia covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Russia keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.