Belgium vs Sweden, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Sweden Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Sweden xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Belgium win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
78%
Draw or Sweden
50%
Belgium or Sweden
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Belgium win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
13.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Sweden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Sweden keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.