Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wales vs Italy, 2017

League Two 2017/18 · 2017
Wales
2 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Fri 30 Mar 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wales vs Italy — Premier League .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Wales 3.75
Draw 3.50
Italy 2.10

Head-to-Head

3
2
Wales 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-30 Wales 2–1 Italy 2017-08-19 Italy 3–0 Wales 2017-03-24 Wales 2–1 Italy 2016-12-25 Italy 0–1 Wales

Recent Form

Wales
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Italy H 2–1 W
24 Mar Iceland A 1–0 W
20 Mar Hungary A 0–0 D
17 Mar Austria H 0–1 L
10 Mar Spain A 1–1 D
24 Feb Belgium H 0–1 L
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Wales A 1–2 L
24 Mar Belgium H 2–0 W
17 Mar Blyth Town FC A 1–1 D
13 Mar Northern Ireland A 2–2 D
10 Mar Switzerland H 1–2 L
03 Mar Republic of Ireland A 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Wales and Italy has kicked off!
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Wales players.

Lineups

Wales Lineups

Italy Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Italy xG
I would bet for: Wales or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wales44% Draw28% Italy28%
Actual: Wales win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Wales or Draw
72%
Draw or Italy
56%
Wales or Italy
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wales28% Draw49% Italy23%
Actual: Wales win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Wales

Handicap Wales covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Wales keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.