Italy vs Ireland, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Ireland — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Tasos Sidiropoulos
- Referee Ovidiu Hategan
- Referee Octavian Sovre
- Referee Sebastian Gheorghe
- Referee Constantin Coltescu
- Referee Alexandru Tudor
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at as Italy face off against Ireland in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Italy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ireland's shape.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martin O'Neill will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Italy side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' Shane Long picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Leonardo Bonucci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stefano Sturaro suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' Alessandro Florenzi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 60' The whistle greets Federico Bernardeschi as he departs to be replaced by Matteo Darmian.
- 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 70' Aiden McGeady is replacing Daryl Murphy for the Republic of Ireland side.
- 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Stephen Ward.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Lorenzo Insigne. He replaces Ciro Immobile on 74 minute.
- 77' The Republic of Ireland bench stirs into life. James McCarthy is withdrawn and Wes Hoolahan gets his opportunity.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Andrea Barzagli.
- 82' Mattia De Sciglio makes way for Stephan El Shaarawy at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
- 85' What a strike from Robbie Brady! The score is 0-1.
- 87' A moment of madness from Simone Zaza on 87 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Italy will be frustrated.
- 90' Lorenzo Insigne picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Republic of Ireland make a change. Shane Long trudges off to be replaced by Stephen Quinn on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 15
- 2
- 21
- 8
- 12
- 7
-
11
Ciro Immobile ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 74'
- 14
- 10
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 60'
- 1
- 3
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 74'
- 16
-
22
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 82'
- 6
- 18
- 13
- 23
- 9
- 17
Coach
Antonio Conte
Ireland Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 2
- 17
- 5
- 12
- 19
-
8
James McCarthy ↓ Wes Hoolahan 77'
- 11
- 13
-
9
Shane Long ↓ Stephen Quinn 90'
-
21
Daryl Murphy ↓ Aiden McGeady 70'
Bench
-
22
Stephen Quinn ↑ 90'
- 16
- 4
- 10
- 6
- 14
-
20
Wes Hoolahan ↑ 77'
- 18
- 1
- 3
-
7
Aiden McGeady ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Martin O'Neill
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Ireland xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Italy or Draw 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Ireland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
69%
Draw or Ireland
65%
Italy or Ireland
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Ireland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Ireland keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.