Italy vs Ireland, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Ireland — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Tasos Sidiropoulos
- Referee Ovidiu Hategan
- Referee Octavian Sovre
- Referee Sebastian Gheorghe
- Referee Constantin Coltescu
- Referee Alexandru Tudor
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Italy welcome Ireland for this crunch clash at .
- 5' The 36-year-old Ciro Immobile has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Stefano Sturaro, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Ireland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Salvatore Sirigu suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' Aiden McGeady needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 39' The referee has no hesitation. Shane Long is booked for Republic of Ireland — Yellow card on 39.
- 44' Ireland started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 49' Ireland come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' Ireland have won 4 goals from 100 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Italy currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Matteo Darmian is replacing Federico Bernardeschi for the Italy side.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' Aiden McGeady has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daryl Murphy on 70 minute.
- 73' Republic of Ireland player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 74' Italy ring the changes. Ciro Immobile has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Insigne to step up.
- 77' A tactical swap from Republic of Ireland — Wes Hoolahan on, James McCarthy off on 77 minutes.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Andrea Barzagli is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 78.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Stephan El Shaarawy. He replaces Mattia De Sciglio on 82 minute.
- 85' A goal from the Ireland international Robbie Brady! He fires home on 85 to make it 0-1!
- 87' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Simone Zaza.
- 90' A moment of madness from Lorenzo Insigne on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Italy will be frustrated.
- 90' A change in the Republic of Ireland ranks — Shane Long exits the field as Stephen Quinn enters on 90.
- With this win, Ireland is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 15
- 2
- 21
- 8
- 12
- 7
-
11
Ciro Immobile ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 74'
- 14
- 10
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 60'
- 1
- 3
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 74'
- 16
-
22
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 82'
- 6
- 18
- 13
- 23
- 9
- 17
Coach
Antonio Conte
Ireland Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 2
- 17
- 5
- 12
- 19
-
8
James McCarthy ↓ Wes Hoolahan 77'
- 11
- 13
-
9
Shane Long ↓ Stephen Quinn 90'
-
21
Daryl Murphy ↓ Aiden McGeady 70'
Bench
-
22
Stephen Quinn ↑ 90'
- 16
- 4
- 10
- 6
- 14
-
20
Wes Hoolahan ↑ 77'
- 18
- 1
- 3
-
7
Aiden McGeady ↑ 70'
- 15
Coach
Martin O'Neill
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Ireland xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Italy or Draw 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Ireland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
69%
Draw or Ireland
65%
Italy or Ireland
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Ireland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Ireland keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.