Italy vs Iceland, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Iceland Lineups
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H2H
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 42.36 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.16 Iceland xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.52Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 86% 14% ± 2.5 67% 33% ± 3.5 46% 54% ± 4.5 28% 72% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 82%Draw or Iceland 39%Italy or Iceland 79%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual2 – 1 9.3%1 – 1 8.9%2 – 0 8.3%3 – 1 7.2%1 – 0 6.6%3 – 0 6.4%2 – 2 5.3%1 – 2 4.6%4 – 1 4.3%0 – 0 4.3%3 – 2 4.2%4 – 0 3.7%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Iceland covers -2.5 23% — 77% -2 23% 19% 58% -1.5 42% — 58% -1 42% 21% 37% -0.5 63% — 37% +0.5 83% — 17% +1 83% 10% 7% +1.5 93% — 7% +2 93% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 32% ✓Iceland keeps clean sheet 10% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.