Italy vs Iceland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Iceland Lineups
H2H
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Iceland
39%
Italy or Iceland
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.