Italy vs Iceland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar | Iceland | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Austria | A | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | SD Huesca | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Penistone Church FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Iceland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.03
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Iceland or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
57%
Draw or Iceland
72%
Italy or Iceland
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.