Iceland vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- With this win, Iceland is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.49
Iceland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Iceland or Italy 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Iceland or Draw
72%
Draw or Italy
55%
Iceland or Italy
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Iceland
| Handicap | Iceland covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.