Italy vs England, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. England kicks off things out of here…
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
England Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
England xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
77%
Draw or England
48%
Italy or England
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | England covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
England keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.