EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 22 | Points | 24 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 8 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 25 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 35% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Vitoria and CA Mineiro get this one started.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 6' GOAL! Erick fires home to make it 1-0!
- 11' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Baralhas.
- 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 31' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 34' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Camutanga is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
- 52' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Paulo departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' Igor Gomes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dudu on 59 minute.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexsander Gomes on 63.
- 66' A moment of madness from Junior Alonso on 66 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 67' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Aitor Cantalapiedra is withdrawn and Matheuzinho gets his opportunity.
- 68' CA Mineiro make a change. Natanael trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira on 68 minutes.
- 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Reinier made 382 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ronald comes on to replace Osvaldo.
- 75' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Fabricio.
- 80' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Alexsander Gomes by Gabriel Menino on 80 minute.
- 85' EC Vitoria has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 90' A moment of madness from Willian Oliveira on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for EC Vitoria players.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 4
- 50
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 6
- 43
- 20
- 3
- 8
- 12
- 10
- 76
- 99
Coach
Fabio Carille
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
92
Dudu ↓ Igor Gomes 59'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Rony 80'
- 6
- 13
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Reinier 59'
- 28
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 68'
- 7
- 5
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 80'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 59'
- 37
- 38
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↑ 59'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 80'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
- 23
- 48
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Roger Guedes | 1 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
76%
Draw or CA Mineiro
50%
EC Vitoria or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

