EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #7 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 28 | Scored | 36 |
| 42 | Conceded | 32 |
| -14 | GD | +4 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Barradao. EC Vitoria are looking to make home advantage count against CA Mineiro.
- 5' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 6' GOAL! Erick fires home to make it 1-0!
- 11' Gabriel Teixeira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 16' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 21' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Gabriel Baralhas will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' The 32-year-old Gustavo Scarpa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Alexsander Gomes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 44' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 52' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 52 minute. Paulo leaves to be changed by Carlos Eduardo.
- 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabio Carille will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Igor Gomes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dudu at the 59 minute mark.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexsander Gomes on 63 minutes.
- 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Junior Alonso.
- 67' Matheuzinho is replacing Aitor Cantalapiedra for the EC Vitoria side.
- 68' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Natanael by Gabriel Teixeira on 68 minute.
- 73' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
- 74' Ronald gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Osvaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Fabricio is replacing Erick for the EC Vitoria side.
- 80' Gabriel Menino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexsander Gomes at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' A quiet spell here at Barradao. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' Willian Oliveira was booked on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 4
- 50
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 6
- 43
- 20
- 3
- 8
- 12
- 10
- 76
- 99
Coach
Fabio Carille
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
92
Dudu ↓ Igor Gomes 59'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Rony 80'
- 6
- 13
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Reinier 59'
- 28
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 68'
- 7
- 5
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 80'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 59'
- 37
- 38
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↑ 59'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 80'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
- 23
- 48
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Erick | 2 |
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
| Brahian Palacios | 1 |
| Roger Guedes | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or CA Mineiro
54%
EC Vitoria or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

