EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #7 |
| 38 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 |
| 35 | Scored | 44 |
| 51 | Conceded | 40 |
| -16 | GD | +4 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.46 |
| 29% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 6' A stunning finish from Erick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 11' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 21' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriel Baralhas is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 21.
- 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 34' Vitor Hugo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 52' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Paulo by Carlos Eduardo on 52 minute.
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 59' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Dudu is withdrawn and Igor Gomes gets his opportunity.
- 63' Alexsander Gomes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Junior Alonso.
- 67' Matheuzinho is replacing Aitor Cantalapiedra for the EC Vitoria side.
- 68' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Natanael has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Teixeira to step up.
- 73' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 74' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Osvaldo has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
- 75' Erick makes way for Fabricio at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- 80' The whistle greets Alexsander Gomes as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Menino.
- 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 90' A moment of madness from Willian Oliveira on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- With this win, EC Vitoria is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 4
- 50
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 6
- 43
- 20
- 3
- 8
- 12
- 10
- 76
- 99
Coach
Fabio Carille
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
92
Dudu ↓ Igor Gomes 59'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Rony 80'
- 6
- 13
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Reinier 59'
- 28
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 68'
- 7
- 5
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 80'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 59'
- 37
- 38
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↑ 59'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 80'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
- 23
- 48
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Erick | 2 |
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Mineiro
54%
EC Vitoria or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

