Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Dudu 1' Y
Y 20' Kevin Serna
Dudu 25' YR
Y 44' Igor Rabello
YR 45' Igor Rabello

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
16 Aug EC Juventude H 2–2 D
09 Aug São Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–4 L
16 Aug Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Fluminense FC
#16 Position #4
38 Points 57
34 Played 34
10 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
35 Scored 55
51 Conceded 42
-16 GD +13
1.12 PPG 1.68
29% Win % 47%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC is underway.
  • 1' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 1.
  • 6' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 11' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 20.
  • 25' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 25.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Osvaldo has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
  • 35' Joaquin Lavega gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Lima and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 36' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Ruben Lezcano on, Kevin Serna off on 36 minutes.
  • 37' The deadlock is broken! Hercules gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' The referee calls foul for Igor Rabello. He receives a card.
  • 45' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Ruben Lezcano departs to be replaced by Manoel.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. German Cano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Erick is replaced by Romarinho on 63 minute.
  • 64' The referee calls foul for Joao Pedro Pepe. He receives a card.
  • 69' Fluminense FC have won 443 goals from 404 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 70' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
  • 73' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Guga by Julio Cesar on 73 minute.
  • 78' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Fabricio exits the field as Renzo Lopez enters on 90.
  • Another three points for Fluminense FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria31% Draw30% Fluminense FC39%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
61%
Draw or Fluminense FC
69%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria21% Draw50% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.