EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #4 |
| 38 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 35 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 42 |
| -16 | GD | +13 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 29% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC is underway.
- 1' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 1.
- 6' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 11' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 16' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 20.
- 25' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 25.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 32' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Osvaldo has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
- 35' Joaquin Lavega gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Lima and will look to change the dynamic.
- 36' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Ruben Lezcano on, Kevin Serna off on 36 minutes.
- 37' The deadlock is broken! Hercules gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
- 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Igor Rabello. He receives a card.
- 45' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Ruben Lezcano departs to be replaced by Manoel.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. German Cano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 63' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Erick is replaced by Romarinho on 63 minute.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Joao Pedro Pepe. He receives a card.
- 69' Fluminense FC have won 443 goals from 404 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 70' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
- 73' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Guga by Julio Cesar on 73 minute.
- 78' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Fabricio exits the field as Renzo Lopez enters on 90.
- Another three points for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 10
Bench
- 17
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 3
- 31
- 29
- 8
- 12
- 2
- 66
- 7
Coach
Marcio Goiano
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 21
-
23
Guga ↓ Julio Cesar 73'
- 94
- 4
- 14
-
45
Lima ↓ Joaquin Lavega 35'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 70'
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Ruben Lezcano 36'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 11
- 99
- 30
-
18
Ruben Lezcano ↑ 36'
-
46
Julio Cesar ↑ 73'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 70'
- 36
- 28
-
19
Joaquin Lavega ↑ 35'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rodrigo Castillo | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Hercules | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
61%
Draw or Fluminense FC
69%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

