EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 7 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 34 |
| 33 | Conceded | 28 |
| -11 | GD | +6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Vitoria welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Barradao.
- 1' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 1.
- 6' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 11' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 16' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Kevin Serna catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 25' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Dudu gets a card.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Osvaldo exits the field as Ronald enters on 32.
- 35' The whistle greets Lima as he departs to be replaced by Joaquin Lavega.
- 36' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Lezcano is hanging Kevin Serna on the field on 36 minute.
- 37' GOAL! Hercules scores on 37.
- 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' Igor Rabello was booked on 44.
- 45' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Manoel on, Ruben Lezcano off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcio Goiano will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ruben Lezcano suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Romarinho. He replaces Erick on 63 minute.
- 64' Poor challenge from Joao Pedro Pepe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 69' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 70' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Facundo Bernal to step up.
- 73' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Julio Cesar comes on to replace Guga.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Renzo Lopez. He replaces Fabricio on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Fluminense FC beats EC Vitoria
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 10
Bench
- 17
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 3
- 31
- 29
- 8
- 12
- 2
- 66
- 7
Coach
Marcio Goiano
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 21
-
23
Guga ↓ Julio Cesar 73'
- 94
- 4
- 14
-
45
Lima ↓ Joaquin Lavega 35'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 70'
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Ruben Lezcano 36'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 11
- 99
- 30
-
18
Ruben Lezcano ↑ 36'
-
46
Julio Cesar ↑ 73'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 70'
- 36
- 28
-
19
Joaquin Lavega ↑ 35'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hercules | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
62%
Draw or Fluminense FC
69%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

