EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 22 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 28 |
| 25 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 35% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC has kicked off!
- 1' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 1.
- 6' Dudu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 11' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 16' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Kevin Serna will be fuming at that decision.
- 25' Poor challenge from Dudu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 30' EC Vitoria have won 127 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 32' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Osvaldo has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
- 35' Joaquin Lavega is replacing Lima for the Fluminense FC side.
- 36' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Lezcano. He replaces Kevin Serna on 36 minute.
- 37' A goal from the Brazil international Hercules! He fires home on 37 to make it 0-1!
- 42' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 44' The referee has no hesitation. Igor Rabello is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 44.
- 45' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 46 minute. Ruben Lezcano leaves to be changed by Manoel.
- 51' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 61' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 63' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Erick by Romarinho on 63 minute.
- 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Pedro Pepe.
- 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Facundo Bernal on, Hercules off on 70 minutes.
- 73' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Guga has done his job and it is now time for Julio Cesar to step up.
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcio Goiano will be considering his options from the bench.
- 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 88' Joaquin Lavega needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 90' Renzo Lopez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabricio on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 10
Bench
- 17
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 3
- 31
- 29
- 8
- 12
- 2
- 66
- 7
Coach
Marcio Goiano
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 21
-
23
Guga ↓ Julio Cesar 73'
- 94
- 4
- 14
-
45
Lima ↓ Joaquin Lavega 35'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 70'
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Ruben Lezcano 36'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 11
- 99
- 30
-
18
Ruben Lezcano ↑ 36'
-
46
Julio Cesar ↑ 73'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 70'
- 36
- 28
-
19
Joaquin Lavega ↑ 35'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hercules | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
64%
Draw or Fluminense FC
66%
EC Vitoria or Fluminense FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

