Fortaleza EC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–5 | L |
| 03 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fortaleza EC to score. At the same time, EC Vitória does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Arcanjo, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ramon suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Brazil international Bruno Pacheco has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' Breno Lopes makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
- 34' It’s gonna be a card for Juan Lucero.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Camutanga is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 37.
- 41' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Gabriel Baralhas gets a card.
- 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 47' Magnificent from Bruno Pacheco! That is 7 goals in 174 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 50' Pierre was booked on 50.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Renato Kayzer.
- 54' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 54.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Emanuel Britez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raul Caceres on 61 minutes.
- 61' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Osvaldo is replaced by Matheuzinho.
- 62' Fortaleza EC make a change. Lucca Prior trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo on 62 minutes.
- 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Palermo might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 70' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Yago Pikachu is replaced by Tomas Pochettino on 70 minute.
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitória's compact .
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Romarinho. He replaces Erick on 77 minute.
- 82' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Renato Kayzer is withdrawn and Adam Bareiro gets his opportunity.
- 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Lucero made 147 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- Another three points for Fortaleza EC.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Tomas Pochettino 70'
- 6
- 33
- 5
- 9
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Lucas Crispim 62'
- 14
- 30
-
38
Lucca Prior ↓ Rodrigo 62'
Bench
- 11
- 20
- 16
- 18
- 23
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 70'
- 27
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↑ 62'
- 34
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 62'
- 19
- 28
Coach
Martin Palermo
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Matheuzinho 61'
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 3
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 12
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 61'
- 66
-
7
Romarinho ↑ 77'
Coach
Marcio Goiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Alerrandro | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Tinga | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Diogo Barbosa | 1 |
| Bruno Pacheco | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Vitoria
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.