Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2016 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Spain — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Martin Atkinson
- Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
- Referee Bahattin Duran
- Referee Tarik Ongun
- Referee Baris Simsek
- Referee Huseyin Gocek
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . Italy are looking to make home advantage count against Spain.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Spain have won 55 goals from 121 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Italy and Spain are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 24' Italy player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' GOAL! Giorgio Chiellini scores on 33. Assisted by Emanuele Giaccherini
- 38' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Nolito on 41 minutes.
- 46' The whistle greets Nolito as he departs to be replaced by Aduriz.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spain that had 121 games and scored 55 goals.
- 53' A change in the Italy ranks — Daniele De Rossi exits the field as Thiago Motta enters on 53.
- 54' The referee has no hesitation. Graziano Pelle is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 54.
- 59' Aduriz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Italy tonight.
- 64' Spain started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 69' David Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 70' Spain ring the changes. Alvaro Morata has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Vazquez to step up.
- 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 80' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 81' Fresh legs for Italy! Lorenzo Insigne comes on to replace Eder.
- 84' Alessandro Florenzi makes way for Matteo Darmian at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Thiago Motta on 89 minutes.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Graziano Pelle makes it 2-0.
- 90' The referee shows Spain player a Yellow card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Italy and Spain share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
- 2
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 53'
- 8
- 18
- 23
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 81'
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 84'
- 5
- 21
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 81'
- 22
- 12
- 7
- 6
- 11
- 13
- 14
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 53'
Coach
Antonio Conte
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Lucas Vazquez 70'
- 21
- 13
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 18
- 5
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 11
- 23
- 14
- 8
- 17
-
20
Aduriz ↑ 46'
- 4
-
9
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 70'
- 19
- 1
Coach
Del Bosque
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Spain
43%
Italy or Spain
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.