Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2016 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Spain — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Martin Atkinson
- Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
- Referee Bahattin Duran
- Referee Tarik Ongun
- Referee Baris Simsek
- Referee Huseyin Gocek
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Italy welcome Spain for this crunch clash at .
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Juanfran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Italy international Eder has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia De Sciglio argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 29' Italy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' Giorgio Chiellini is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Italy and Spain are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 41' The referee calls foul for Nolito. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' A tactical swap from Spain — Aduriz on, Nolito off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Spain started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 53' Time for substitution for Italy. Daniele De Rossi is replaced by Thiago Motta.
- 54' The referee shows Italy player a Yellow card on 54.
- 59' It looks surprising Spain does not make any changes. Fabregas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' David De Gea is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Spain tonight.
- 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 70' Lucas Vazquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Morata on 70 minute.
- 75' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 80' The travelling Spain supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' Time for substitution for Italy. Eder is replaced by Lorenzo Insigne.
- 84' Another substitution for Italy to replace Alessandro Florenzi by Matteo Darmian on 84 minute.
- 89' Poor challenge from Thiago Motta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Graziano Pelle doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for David Silva.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Italy take all three points.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
- 2
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 53'
- 8
- 18
- 23
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 81'
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 84'
- 5
- 21
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 81'
- 22
- 12
- 7
- 6
- 11
- 13
- 14
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 53'
Coach
Antonio Conte
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Lucas Vazquez 70'
- 21
- 13
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 18
- 5
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 11
- 23
- 14
- 8
- 17
-
20
Aduriz ↑ 46'
- 4
-
9
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 70'
- 19
- 1
Coach
Del Bosque
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Spain
43%
Italy or Spain
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.