Thursday , 2 July 2026

Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2016 ROUND OF 16

2 0
Full Time
Mon 27 Jun 2016 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs SpainEuropean Championship .

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Atkinson
  • Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
  • Referee Bahattin Duran
  • Referee Tarik Ongun
  • Referee Baris Simsek
  • Referee Huseyin Gocek

Head-to-Head

3
3
1
Italy 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Spain

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun Spain H 2–0 W
22 Jun Republic of Ireland H 0–1 L
17 Jun Sweden H 1–0 W
13 Jun Belgium A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun Italy A 0–2 L
21 Jun Croatia A 1–2 L
17 Jun Turkey H 3–0 W
13 Jun Czechia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/
31-45
3/
46-60
3/
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Italy are looking to make home advantage count against Spain.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Spain have won 55 goals from 121 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Italy and Spain are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' Italy player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' GOAL! Giorgio Chiellini scores on 33. Assisted by Emanuele Giaccherini
  • 38' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Nolito on 41 minutes.
  • 46' The whistle greets Nolito as he departs to be replaced by Aduriz.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spain that had 121 games and scored 55 goals.
  • 53' A change in the Italy ranks — Daniele De Rossi exits the field as Thiago Motta enters on 53.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Graziano Pelle is booked for Italy — Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' Aduriz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Italy tonight.
  • 64' Spain started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 69' David Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 70' Spain ring the changes. Alvaro Morata has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Vazquez to step up.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Italy! Lorenzo Insigne comes on to replace Eder.
  • 84' Alessandro Florenzi makes way for Matteo Darmian at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Thiago Motta on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Graziano Pelle makes it 2-0.
  • 90' The referee shows Spain player a Yellow card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Italy and Spain share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Spain xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy57% Draw27% Spain16%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Spain
43%
Italy or Spain
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy38% Draw50% Spain12%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 26% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
52%
Spain keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.