Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Italy vs Spain, European Championship 2016 ROUND OF 16

2 – 0
Full Time
Mon 27 Jun 2016 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Spain — European Championship .

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Atkinson
  • Referee Cuneyt Cakιr
  • Referee Bahattin Duran
  • Referee Tarik Ongun
  • Referee Baris Simsek
  • Referee Huseyin Gocek

Head-to-Head

3
3
1
Italy 7 games · Avg 3.1 goals Spain

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun Spain H 2–0 W
22 Jun Ireland H 0–1 L
17 Jun Sweden H 1–0 W
13 Jun Belgium A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun Italy A 0–2 L
21 Jun Croatia A 1–2 L
17 Jun Turkey H 3–0 W
13 Jun Czechia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Italy and Spain.
  • 5' Italy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Spain's shape.
  • 10' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Alvaro Morata has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Italy in their trying to find a way past Spain's compact .
  • 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattia De Sciglio on 24.
  • 29' It’s high time Antonio Conte made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 33' Giorgio Chiellini doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 38' Italy have won 42 goals from 111 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Nolito is booked for Spain — Yellow card on 41.
  • 46' Nolito makes way for Aduriz at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spain.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 53' A change in the Italy ranks — Daniele De Rossi exits the field as Thiago Motta enters on 53.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Graziano Pelle. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Graziano Pelle made 383 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' Spain started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Spain winning 100% of all matches.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Spain — Lucas Vazquez on, Alvaro Morata off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aduriz, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Italy — Lorenzo Insigne on, Eder off on 81 minutes.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Italy team. Alessandro Florenzi is replaced by Matteo Darmian on 84 minute.
  • 89' The referee shows Italy player a Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' Magnificent from Graziano Pelle! That is 5 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The referee shows Spain player a Yellow card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Italy to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Spain xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy57% Draw27% Spain16%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Spain
43%
Italy or Spain
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy38% Draw50% Spain12%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 26% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.