Sunday , 9 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

0 0
Full Time
Thu 30 Jul 2026 · 00:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Ignacio 11' Y
Y 49' Erick

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
17 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
31 May Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
23 May Mirassol FC A 0–1 L
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Fluminense FC A 0–0 D
26 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
21 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
17 Jul Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
30 May Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
25 May Coritiba FBC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Bahia
#4 Position #5
35 Points 32
22 Played 21
9 / 8 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 5
31 Scored 29
26 Conceded 25
+5 GD +4
1.59 PPG 1.52
41% Win % 38%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (35 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Maracana.
  • 5' Ronaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Juan Freytes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 11' A moment of madness from Ignacio on 11 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 12' Ignacio was booked on 12.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fluminense FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martinelli made 389 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 41' Thiago Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Freytes at the 41 minute mark.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Erick argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erick.
  • 55' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Fluminense FCJefferson Savarino on, Luciano Acosta off on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Ademir Santos makes way for Everton Ribeiro at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 65' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Michel Araujo comes on to replace Luciano Juba.
  • 70' Venezuela international Yeferson Soteldo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Jean Lucas is replaced by David Martins on 74 minute.
  • 75' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Kaue Junior comes on to replace Erick.
  • 80' Hulk, a Brazil forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Willian Jose comes on to replace Alejo Veliz.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC42% Draw30% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
58%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC28% Draw53% EC Bahia19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.