Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 24 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 24 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 23 | 45 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 24 | 44 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 24 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 24 | 37 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 35 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 23 | 33 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 24 | 32 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 23 | 30 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 24 | 29 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo FC | 23 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos FC | 23 | 26 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 24 | 25 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 23 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 19 | CR Vasco da Gama | 23 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 23 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Mirassol FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 37 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 11 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 34 |
| 29 | Conceded | 28 |
| +7 | GD | +6 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (41 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/3
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 4 G | 3 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Maracana.
- 5' Ronaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Juan Freytes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 11' A moment of madness from Ignacio on 11 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 12' Ignacio was booked on 12.
- 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fluminense FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martinelli made 389 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' Thiago Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Freytes at the 41 minute mark.
- 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' Controversy at the stadium! Erick argues furiously but the card stands.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erick.
- 55' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 62' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Jefferson Savarino on, Luciano Acosta off on 62 minutes.
- 64' Ademir Santos makes way for Everton Ribeiro at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 65' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Michel Araujo comes on to replace Luciano Juba.
- 70' Venezuela international Yeferson Soteldo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Jean Lucas is replaced by David Martins on 74 minute.
- 75' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Kaue Junior comes on to replace Erick.
- 80' Hulk, a Brazil forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 88' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Willian Jose comes on to replace Alejo Veliz.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 16
- 32
- 4
-
22
Juan Freytes ↓ Thiago Silva 41'
- 30
-
7
Hulk ↓ German Cano 75'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Hercules 62'
- 17
Bench
- 25
- 21
- 23
-
3
Thiago Silva ↑ 41'
- 10
- 94
-
11
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 62'
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 75'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 62'
- 90
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ David Martins 74'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everton Ribeiro 64'
- 11
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Willian Jose 88'
- 44
-
16
Erick ↓ Kaue Junior 75'
- 31
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 64'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 88'
- 17
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
- 23
- 55
- 43
- 67
-
63
David Martins ↑ 74'
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 75'
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
57%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.