Sunday , 23 August 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Marakana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs KKS Lech PoznanChampions League Q at Marakana.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FK Crvena Zvezda 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznan H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FK Crvena Zvezda get us underway at Marakana.
  • 2' Controversy at the stadium! Milos Veljkovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 7' Peter Olayinka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 166 appearances.
  • 8' Robert Gumny makes way for Filip Szymczak at the 8 minute mark. A tactical switch from KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 13' KKS Lech Poznan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bruno Duarte on 22.
  • 27' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Crvena Zvezda must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 32' It looks surprising KKS Lech Poznan does not make any changes. Joel Pereira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' FK Crvena Zvezda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Cherif Ndiaye does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Crvena Zvezda surge ahead!
  • 46' Timothy Ouma is replacing Gisli THordarson for the KKS Lech Poznan side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luis Palma made 410 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigao.
  • 59' The FK Crvena Zvezda bench stirs into life. Bruno Duarte is withdrawn and Veljko Milosavljevic gets his opportunity.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Crvena Zvezda that had 245 games and scored 139 goals.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' Vladimir Lucic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shavy Warren Babicka at the 72 minute mark.
  • 73' KKS Lech Poznan make a change. Antoni Kozubal trudges off to be replaced by Pablo Rodriguez Delgado on 73 minutes.
  • 78' FK Crvena Zvezda are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KKS Lech Poznan's shape.
  • 79' Kornel Lisman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Palma at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Pablo Rodriguez Delgado has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Rade Krunic. He receives a card.
  • 86' Time for substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda. Cherif Ndiaye is replaced by Aleksandar Katai.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 KKS Lech Poznan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda52% Draw25% KKS Lech Poznan23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
77%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
48%
FK Crvena Zvezda or KKS Lech Poznan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda36% Draw45% KKS Lech Poznan19%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
33%
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.