Monday , 12 October 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Marakana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs KKS Lech Poznan — Champions League Q at Marakana.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FK Crvena Zvezda 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznan H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
Marko Arnautovic 2 G
KKS Lech Poznan
Patrik Walemark 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Crvena Zvezda welcome KKS Lech Poznan for this crunch clash at Marakana.
  • 2' Milos Veljkovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 2.
  • 7' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 8' The KKS Lech Poznan bench stirs into life. Robert Gumny is withdrawn and Filip Szymczak gets his opportunity.
  • 13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 18' The travelling KKS Lech Poznan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' The referee shows FK Crvena Zvezda player a card on 22.
  • 27' FK Crvena Zvezda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined KKS Lech Poznan backline.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Crvena Zvezda needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' FK Crvena Zvezda is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cherif Ndiaye on 45.
  • 46' Timothy Ouma gets the nod from KKS Lech Poznan. He replaces Gisli THordarson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Crvena Zvezda in their trying to find a way past KKS Lech Poznan's compact .
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Rodrigao on 57 minutes earns him a card. FK Crvena Zvezda will be frustrated.
  • 59' The whistle greets Bruno Duarte as he departs to be replaced by Veljko Milosavljevic.
  • 64' Matheus Magalhaes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 72' FK Crvena Zvezda make a change. Shavy Warren Babicka trudges off to be replaced by Vladimir Lucic on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Time for substitution for KKS Lech Poznan. Antoni Kozubal is replaced by Pablo Rodriguez Delgado.
  • 78' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antonio Milic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 79' A change in the KKS Lech Poznan ranks — Luis Palma exits the field as Kornel Lisman enters on 79.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado is booked for KKS Lech Poznan — card on 80.
  • 81' The referee shows FK Crvena Zvezda player a card on 81.
  • 86' A tactical swap from FK Crvena Zvezda — Aleksandar Katai on, Cherif Ndiaye off on 86 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 KKS Lech Poznan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda52% Draw25% KKS Lech Poznan23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
77%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
48%
FK Crvena Zvezda or KKS Lech Poznan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda36% Draw45% KKS Lech Poznan19%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.