Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Metz vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–3 L
28 Sep Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
21 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–5 L
14 Sep Angers SCO H 1–1 D
31 Aug Paris FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct FC Metz A 3–0 W
30 Sep AFC Ajax H 4–0 W
26 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–1 W
22 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W

Season Stats

FC Metz Olympique de Marseille
#2 Position #7
17 Points 0
34 Played 0
3 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
32 Scored 0
76 Conceded 0
-44 GD +0
0.50 PPG
9% Win %

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Metz are 2nd (17 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Metz to score. At the same time, Olympique de Marseille does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.33 FC Metz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Metz16% Draw37% Olympique de Marseille47%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC Metz or Draw
53%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
84%
FC Metz or Olympique de Marseille
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Metz7% Draw67% Olympique de Marseille26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.7%
0 – 1
24.9%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
1.4%
1 – 3
1.4%
2 – 0
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 4
0.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Metz

Handicap FC Metz covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 9% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 30% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 13% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Metz keeps clean sheet
41%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
72%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.