Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
3 – 2
Full Time
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Gael Angoula
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug FC Metz H 3–2 W
23 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 2–5 L
17 Aug Angers SCO A 0–1 L
10 May AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
02 May FC Martigues A 1–1 D
26 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Paris FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–3 L
17 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 3–2 W
02 May Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D
26 Apr Pau FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Paris FC and FC Metz.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Paris FC take all three points.

Lineups

Paris FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC46% Draw25% FC Metz29%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Metz
54%
Paris FC or FC Metz
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC33% Draw43% FC Metz24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.