Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Mon 22 Sep 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W
31 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–1 L
17 Sep Atalanta BC H 4–0 W
14 Sep Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
30 Aug Toulouse FC A 6–3 W
22 Aug Angers SCO H 1–0 W
17 Aug FC Nantes A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris Saint-Germain FC
#17 Position #6
3 Points 8
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
7 Scored 8
8 Conceded 7
-1 GD +1
0.60 PPG 1.60
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.56 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille35% Draw26% Paris Saint-Germain FC39%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
61%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
65%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille27% Draw42% Paris Saint-Germain FC31%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
18% ✗
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.