Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AFC Ajax, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 30 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AFC Ajax H 4–0 W
26 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–1 W
22 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W
31 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
27 Sep NAC Breda H 2–1 W
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille AFC Ajax
#25 Position #32
9 Points 6
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 6
11 Scored 8
14 Conceded 21
-3 GD -13
1.13 PPG 0.75
38% Win % 25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts). AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Ajax.

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.88 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Olympique de Marseille to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille69% Draw17% AFC Ajax14%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
87%
Draw or AFC Ajax
31%
Olympique de Marseille or AFC Ajax
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille55% Draw33% AFC Ajax12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 20% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 19% 26%
-0.5 74% 26%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
36%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.