FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

FC Metz

0 – 3

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

FC Metz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Clement Turpin

11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

FC Metz 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 FC Metz 0–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-02-09 Olympique de Marseille 1–1 FC Metz 2023-08-18 FC Metz 2–2 Olympique de Marseille 2022-02-13 FC Metz 1–2 Olympique de Marseille 2021-11-07 Olympique de Marseille 0–0 FC Metz

Recent Form

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–3	L
28 Sep	Le Havre AC	H	0–0	D
21 Sep	AS Monaco FC	A	2–5	L
14 Sep	Angers SCO	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Paris FC	A	2–3	L
23 Aug	Olympique Lyonnais	A	0–3	L

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Metz	A	3–0	W
30 Sep	AFC Ajax	H	4–0	W
26 Sep	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	2–1	W
22 Sep	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
12 Sep	FC Lorient	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	4 G	1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	1 G
Keyliane Abdallah	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Olympique de Marseille gets underway.
FC Metz will have plenty to reflect on. Olympique de Marseille were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Arkadiusz Milik	2
Habib Maiga	1
Vitinha	1
Emran Soglo	1
Georges Mikautadze	1
Nemanja Radonjic	1
Cheikh Sabaly	1
Opa Nguette	1

Head to Head

FC Metz Form

2025-10-04 FC Metz 0–3 Olympique de Marseille L 2025-09-28 FC Metz 0–0 Le Havre AC D 2025-09-21 AS Monaco FC 5–2 FC Metz L 2025-09-14 FC Metz 1–1 Angers SCO D 2025-08-31 Paris FC 3–2 FC Metz L 2025-08-23 Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 FC Metz L

Olympique de Marseille Form

2025-10-04 FC Metz 0–3 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-09-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 AFC Ajax W 2025-09-26 RC Strasbourg Alsace 1–2 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-09-22 Olympique de Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-09-16 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2025-09-12 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 FC Lorient W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.98 FC Metz xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Metz25% Draw29% Olympique de Marseille46%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

FC Metz or Draw

54%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

75%

FC Metz or Olympique de Marseille

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Metz19% Draw49% Olympique de Marseille32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

0 – 1

11.8%

0 – 0

11.1%

0 – 2

8.9%

1 – 2

8.7%

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

4.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Metz

Handicap	FC Metz covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	15%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	23%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.