FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 33 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Timothy Ford
- Assistant 1 Logan Brown
- Assistant 2 Gerard Lebuis (Canada)
9 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew SC | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 33 | 39 |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 33 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 33 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 33 | 61 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 33 | 55 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 52 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 33 | 51 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 47 |
| 22 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 44 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 43 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 33 | 43 |
| 25 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 43 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 42 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 41 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 33 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 33 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #14 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 12 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 14 |
| 67 | Scored | 39 |
| 73 | Conceded | 60 |
| -6 | GD | -21 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 36% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (46 pts). D.C. United SC are 14th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/6
76+
17/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
6/6
31-45
5/9
46-60
5/10
61-75
3/8
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 16 G | 1 A |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC get this one started.
- 5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Tom Barlow needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 14' What composure from David Doudera! The Czech Republic international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 29' Kimito Nono is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kimito Nono makes it 1-1.
- 43' Andre Dozzell, a England central midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Tyrell Malacia by Bryan Ramirez on 46 minute.
- 51' D.C. United SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' Poor challenge from Kimito Nono. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 55' Sensational shot from Teenage Hadebe. FC Cincinnati is back in the lead.
- 60' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Bartlett, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 67' A tactical swap from D.C. United SC — Nathan Ordaz on, Jackson Hopkins off on 67 minutes.
- 69' Alvas Powell is replacing David Doudera for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 74' D.C. United SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 79' The whistle greets Brandon Servania as he departs to be replaced by Matti Peltola.
- 80' Samuel Gidi is replacing Kevin Denkey for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. D.C. United SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nick Hagglund on 87.
- 88' Tai Baribo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ayoub Jabbari.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Kenji Mboma. He replaces Evander on 90 minute.
- Another three points for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Kenji Mboma 90'
-
3
Tyrell Malacia ↓ Bryan Ramirez 46'
- 4
- 20
- 5
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Samuel Gidi 80'
- 24
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
- 15
-
23
David Doudera ↓ Alvas Powell 69'
- 18
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 69'
- 27
- 22
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 90'
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↑ 80'
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↑ 46'
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
D.C. United SC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 21
-
15
Kye Rowles ↓ Sean Nealis 90'
- 23
- 26
-
5
Silvan Hefti ↓ Oscar Avilez 79'
- 6
- 7
- 3
-
25
Jackson Hopkins ↓ Nathan Ordaz 67'
- 9
- 2
Bench
-
13
Sean Nealis ↑ 90'
-
4
Matti Peltola ↑ 79'
- 8
-
22
Nathan Ordaz ↑ 67'
- 12
- 27
-
32
Oscar Avilez ↑ 79'
- 40
Coach
René Weiler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Kristian Fletcher | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or D.C. United SC
44%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 20% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

