FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 25 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 25 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Internacional CF Miami | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 26 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 25 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 33 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 32 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 25 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 26 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 26 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 26 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 25 | 49 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 26 | 44 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 42 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 26 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 33 |
| 24 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 32 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 25 | 30 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 26 | 30 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 29 |
| 28 | Seattle Sounders FC | 24 | 29 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | Charlotte FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 25 | Played | 25 |
| 8 / 9 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 8 |
| 54 | Scored | 31 |
| 61 | Conceded | 39 |
| -7 | GD | -8 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.16 |
| 32% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
32%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (33 pts). D.C. United SC are 11th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/8
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
3/2
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/5
61-75
2/5
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 13 G | 1 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 2 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 14 G | |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Steven Birnbaum | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
Predictions
2.24
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
73%
Draw or D.C. United SC
49%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
78%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
12%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

