FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 26 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | New England Revolution | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | New York City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 30 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 34 |
| 64 | Conceded | 42 |
| -9 | GD | -8 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 31% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
31%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). D.C. United SC are 11th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/4
31-45
2/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
3/6
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 14 G | |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against D.C. United SC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 2' Gabriel Pirani does the damage! The net is bulging and D.C. United SC surge ahead!
- 7' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 12' The 33-year-old Dom Badji has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Kevin Denkey does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 19' Connor Antley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Herrera, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 39' FC Cincinnati have won 363 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 44' The referee has no hesitation. Matti Peltola is booked for D.C. United SC — card on 44.
- 45' Matt Miazga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Gerardo Valenzuela departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Brandon Servania. He replaces Matti Peltola on 60 minute.
- 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. D.C. United SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Matt Miazga is withdrawn and Brad Smith gets his opportunity.
- 69' Brandon Servania was booked on 69.
- 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Teenage Hadebe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 79' D.C. United SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 84' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kevin Denkey by Sergio Santos on 84 minute.
- 85' D.C. United SC ring the changes. Boris Enow Takang has done his job and it is now time for Rida Zouhir to step up.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rida Zouhir.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Brad Smith 68'
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 46'
- 18
- 29
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 46'
Bench
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 68'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 46'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 46'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
D.C. United SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 22
- 13
- 28
- 4
-
7
Peglow ↓ Hosei Kijima 46'
-
10
Gabriel Pirani ↓ Jared Stroud 60'
- 3
-
17
Jacob Murrell ↓ Dom Badji 60'
- 12
-
6
Boris Enow Takang ↓ Rida Zouhir 85'
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 60'
- 11
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 60'
-
44
Rida Zouhir ↑ 85'
-
14
Dom Badji ↑ 60'
- 27
- 18
-
77
Hosei Kijima ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Troy Lesesne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Pedro Santos | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC 75% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or D.C. United SC
59%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

