FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | New England Revolution | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | New York City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 20 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 6 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 21 |
| 37 | Conceded | 25 |
| -1 | GD | -4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
40%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). D.C. United SC are 9th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Cincinnati launch into their encounter with D.C. United SC.
- 2' Gabriel Pirani does the damage! The net is bulging and D.C. United SC surge ahead!
- 7' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Kevin Denkey adds to his 5 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 19' Sensational shot from Connor Antley. D.C. United SC is back in the lead.
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Boris Enow Takang made 278 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 34' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' Jacob Murrell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for D.C. United SC tonight.
- 44' That is a card for D.C. United SC. Matti Peltola will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' Matt Miazga was booked on 45.
- 46' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Gerardo Valenzuela has done his job and it is now time for Kei Kamara to step up.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 60' A tactical swap from D.C. United SC — Brandon Servania on, Matti Peltola off on 60 minutes.
- 65' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 68' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Matt Miazga is replaced by Brad Smith on 68 minute.
- 69' The referee shows D.C. United SC player a card on 69.
- 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Peglow suffering a number of foals already.
- 84' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Sergio Santos comes on to replace Kevin Denkey.
- 85' Rida Zouhir is replacing Boris Enow Takang for the D.C. United SC side.
- 90' Rida Zouhir is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Brad Smith 68'
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 46'
- 18
- 29
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 46'
Bench
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 68'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 46'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 46'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
D.C. United SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 22
- 13
- 28
- 4
-
7
Peglow ↓ Hosei Kijima 46'
-
10
Gabriel Pirani ↓ Jared Stroud 60'
- 3
-
17
Jacob Murrell ↓ Dom Badji 60'
- 12
-
6
Boris Enow Takang ↓ Rida Zouhir 85'
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 60'
- 11
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 60'
-
44
Rida Zouhir ↑ 85'
-
14
Dom Badji ↑ 60'
- 27
- 18
-
77
Hosei Kijima ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Troy Lesesne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Pedro Santos | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
67%
Draw or D.C. United SC
57%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

