FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 May | New England Revolution | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | New York City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #14 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 15 |
| 67 | Scored | 39 |
| 75 | Conceded | 61 |
| -8 | GD | -22 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 35% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). D.C. United SC are 14th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
6/6
31-45
5/9
46-60
5/10
61-75
3/8
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 16 G | 1 A |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC get this one started.
- 2' Goal! Gabriel Pirani scores his 23 goal in 300 matches.
- 7' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 12' D.C. United SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' What composure from Kevin Denkey! The Togo international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 19' Connor Antley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Evander scoring 1 goals.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Troy Lesesne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' That looks like a foul for a card for Matti Peltola.
- 45' Matt Miazga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Gerardo Valenzuela is withdrawn and Kei Kamara gets his opportunity.
- 51' Rida Zouhir is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 56' The 22-year-old Jacob Murrell has been sensational this season — 7 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 60' Another substitution for D.C. United SC to replace Matti Peltola by Brandon Servania on 60 minute.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 68' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Matt Miazga departs to be replaced by Brad Smith.
- 69' It’s a booking for D.C. United SC player. Brandon Servania gets a card.
- 74' D.C. United SC have won 398 goals from 297 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 79' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 84' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kevin Denkey departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Rida Zouhir. He replaces Boris Enow Takang on 85 minute.
- 90' Poor challenge from Rida Zouhir. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from D.C. United SC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Brad Smith 68'
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 46'
- 18
- 29
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Kei Kamara 46'
Bench
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 68'
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 46'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 46'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
D.C. United SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 22
- 13
- 28
- 4
-
7
Peglow ↓ Hosei Kijima 46'
-
10
Gabriel Pirani ↓ Jared Stroud 60'
- 3
-
17
Jacob Murrell ↓ Dom Badji 60'
- 12
-
6
Boris Enow Takang ↓ Rida Zouhir 85'
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 60'
- 11
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 60'
-
44
Rida Zouhir ↑ 85'
-
14
Dom Badji ↑ 60'
- 27
- 18
-
77
Hosei Kijima ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Troy Lesesne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paul Arriola | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Lucas Rodriguez | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Pavel Bucha | 2 |
| Moses Nyeman | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
D.C. United SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC 75% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or D.C. United SC
55%
FC Cincinnati or D.C. United SC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: D.C. United SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

