Sunday , 4 October 2026

Toronto FC vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Nashville SC A 0–2 L
20 Sep St. Louis City A 1–3 L
12 Sep Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
09 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
05 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 4–4 D
29 Aug New York City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 3–3 D
19 Sep Charlotte FC H 1–2 L
12 Sep Atlanta United FC H 0–0 D
09 Sep Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
29 Aug Los Angeles FC H 0–0 D
22 Aug Charlotte FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC D.C. United SC
#13 Position #11
29 Points 30
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 8
39 Scored 34
51 Conceded 42
-12 GD -8
1.07 PPG 1.15
22% Win % 23%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
31% Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). D.C. United SC are 11th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/4
31-45
2/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
3/6
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
D.C. United SC
Tai Baribo 14 G
Louis Munteanu 6 G 2 A

H2H

Predictions

2.01 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or D.C. United SC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

Toronto FC43% Draw24% D.C. United SC33%

Both Teams to Score

Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.8

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
67%
Draw or D.C. United SC
57%
Toronto FC or D.C. United SC
76%

Half-Time Result

Toronto FC33% Draw39% D.C. United SC28%

Correct Score

1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push D.C. United SC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 18% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.