Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 3
Full Time
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 13,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Adam Hlozek
0–2 45+1' Andrej Kramaric
0–3 56' Adam Hlozek
Andu Yobel Kelati 84' 1–3
Y 23' Arthur Chaves
Magnus Knudsen 53' Y
Timon Weiner 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

3
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-18 Holstein Kiel 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2021-10-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 4–2 W
11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Holstein Kiel A 3–1 W
15 Jan FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
21 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–2 L
15 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
12 Dec FCSB Bukarest H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Holstein Kiel currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is taking the lead after the goal scored by Adam Hlozek on 26.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Goal! Andrej Kramaric scores his 122 goal in 407 matches.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 53' Magnus Knudsen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Adam Hlozek makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 61' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Magnus Knudsen departs to be replaced by Armin Gigovic.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Mokwa Ntusu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Anton Stach by Finn Ole Becker on 70 minute.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. David Zec is replaced by Dominik Javorcek on 73 minute.
  • 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 84' Assisted by Dominik Javorcek with the perfectly-timed delivery and Andu Yobel Kelati makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 87' Timon Weiner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 87' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Alexander Bernhardsson departs to be replaced by Benedikt Pichler.
  • 88' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Erencan Yardimci departs to be replaced by David Mokwa Ntusu.
  • 90' Stanley N'Soki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Max Moerstedt on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Holstein Kiel 1-3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Andrej Kramaric 4
Phil Neumann 2
Adam Hlozek 2
Shuto Machino 1
Alexander Bernhardsson 1
Andu Yobel Kelati 1
Johannes van den Bergh 1
Hauke Finn Wahl 1

Head to Head

2025-01-18 Holstein Kiel 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2021-10-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-01-18 Holstein Kiel 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-01-14 Holstein Kiel 4–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2025-01-18 Holstein Kiel 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-01-15 FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-01-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-12-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach L 2024-12-15 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-12-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–0 FCSB Bukarest D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel35% Draw26% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim39%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
61%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
65%
Holstein Kiel or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel28% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim32%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.