Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 22 Dec 2024 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Donyell Malen
0–2 28' Maximilian Beier
0–3 30' Julian Brandt
Denis Vavro 58' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W
04 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
27 Nov GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 3–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
#1 Position #8
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. VfL Wolfsburg host Borussia Dortmund — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ridle Baku made 436 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nuri Sahin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' What composure from Donyell Malen! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 28' What composure from Maximilian Beier! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 30' Magnificent from Julian Brandt! That is 61 goals in 166 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ramy Bensebaini is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 40' Kilian Fischer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 295 appearances.
  • 45' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' The whistle greets Kilian Fischer as he departs to be replaced by Tiago Tomas.
  • 50' Konstantinos Koulierakis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 58' GOAL! Denis Vavro fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pascal Gross on 62.
  • 63' That is a card for Borussia Dortmund. Donyell Malen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' Donyell Malen makes way for Waldemar Anton at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
  • 68' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Denis Vavro is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 70.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Patrick Hasenhuttl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 75' Yan Couto is replacing Maximilian Beier for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 80' Mohammed Amoura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Joakim Maehle exits the field as Jakub Kaminski enters on 86.
  • 87' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Julian Brandt exits the field as Gio Reyna enters on 87.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yan Couto.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.6 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg23% Draw34% Borussia Dortmund43%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
57%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg13% Draw58% Borussia Dortmund29%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.5%
0 – 1
18.7%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 1
3.5%
2 – 0
3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
2.1%
0 – 4
1.1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 13% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 26% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
33%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.