Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 22 Dec 2024 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Donyell Malen
0–2 28' Maximilian Beier
0–3 30' Julian Brandt
Denis Vavro 58' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W
04 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
27 Nov GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 3–0 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Volkswagen Arena as VfL Wolfsburg face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 523 games and scored 804 goals.
  • 10' Emre Can needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 56 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' The 27-year-old Kamil Grabara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Donyell Malen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
  • 28' The Germany Maximilian Beier breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 0-2!
  • 30' GOAL! Julian Brandt fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Borussia Dortmund have won 804 goals from 523 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Kilian Fischer is replaced by Tiago Tomas.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Konstantinos Koulierakis is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 50.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 58' Magnificent from Denis Vavro! That is 8 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' That is a card for Borussia Dortmund. Pascal Gross will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Donyell Malen.
  • 63' The whistle greets Donyell Malen as he departs to be replaced by Waldemar Anton.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 70' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 70.
  • 75' Patrick Hasenhuttl has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 75.
  • 75' The Borussia Dortmund bench stirs into life. Maximilian Beier is withdrawn and Yan Couto gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Konstantinos Koulierakis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 86' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Joakim Maehle departs to be replaced by Jakub Kaminski.
  • 87' Gio Reyna is ready to make an impact after coming on for Julian Brandt at the 87 minute mark.
  • 90' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Borussia Dortmund players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw28% Borussia Dortmund42%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
58%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
70%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg22% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund33%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.