VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 3

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Sun 22 Dec 2024 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 25' Donyell Malen

0–2 28' Maximilian Beier

0–3 30' Julian Brandt

Denis Vavro 58' 1–3

Konstantinos Koulierakis 50' Y

Yannick Gerhardt 55' Y

R 62' Pascal Gross

Y 63' Donyell Malen

Denis Vavro 70' Y

Patrick Hasenhuttl 75' Y

Y 90' Yan Couto

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki

20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund 2024-10-29 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Borussia Dortmund 2024-02-17 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-09-23 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-05-07 Borussia Dortmund 6–0 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L
13 Dec	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
08 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–3	W
04 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–0	W
30 Nov	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W
23 Nov	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–0	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–1	W
15 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
11 Dec	FC Barcelona	H	2–3	L
07 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–1	D
30 Nov	FC Bayern München	H	1–1	D
27 Nov	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		Borussia Dortmund
#16	Position	#2
29	Points	73
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	22 / 7 / 5
45	Scored	70
69	Conceded	34
-24	GD	+36
0.85	PPG	2.15
21%	Win %	65%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Borussia Dortmund gets underway.
5' England international Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Gregor Kobel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Brilliant from the ! Donyell Malen makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 25.
28' Assisted by Julian Brandt with the perfectly-timed delivery and Maximilian Beier makes no mistake. 0-2!
30' GOAL! Julian Brandt fires home to make it 0-3!
35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
45' Mattias Svanberg has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
46' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Tiago Tomas comes on to replace Kilian Fischer.
50' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Konstantinos Koulierakis gets a card.
55' The referee has no hesitation. Yannick Gerhardt is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 55.
58' Denis Vavro adds to his 0 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
62' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Pascal Gross gets a card.
63' Borussia Dortmund player sees a card in front of him.
63' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Donyell Malen exits the field as Waldemar Anton enters on 63.
68' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
70' Denis Vavro is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
75' Patrick Hasenhuttl was booked on 75.
75' Yan Couto is replacing Maximilian Beier for the Borussia Dortmund side.
80' Kamil Grabara is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfL Wolfsburg tonight.
85' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
86' The whistle greets Joakim Maehle as he departs to be replaced by Jakub Kaminski.
87' The supporters are chanting for Gio Reyna. He replaces Julian Brandt on 87 minute.
90' Yan Couto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 46'
29
Marius Muller
8
Salih Ozcan ↑ 75'
17
Kevin Behrens
5
Cedric Zesiger
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 86'
39
Patrick Wimmer ↑ 86'
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 46'
24
Bence Dardai

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

21
Donyell Malen ↓ Waldemar Anton 63'
13
Pascal Gross
5
Ramy Bensebaini
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Gio Reyna 87'
1
Gregor Kobel
9
Sehrou Guirassy
23
Emre Can
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
14
Maximilian Beier ↓ Yan Couto 75'
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Karim Adeyemi 87'

Bench

Coach Nuri Sahin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Jude Bellingham	4
Karim Adeyemi	4
Donyell Malen	3
Emre Can	2
Marco Reus	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2
Ridle Baku	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-12-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-23 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2024-12-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-12-15 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-12-11 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Barcelona L 2024-12-07 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München D 2024-11-27 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0–3 Borussia Dortmund W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.07 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.36 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg21% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund56%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

45%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

79%

VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg14% Draw38% Borussia Dortmund48%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

1 – 1

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 1

7.3%

0 – 3

6.9%

2 – 2

0 – 0

4.6%

1 – 4

4.3%

2 – 1

4.3%

0 – 4

2 – 3

3.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	9%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	35%	—	65%
+1	35%	22%	43%
+1.5	57%	—	43%
+2	57%	19%	24%
+2.5	76%	—	24%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.